Middle East · resolved market
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cedbddfde0872b20aac8b421b98d3808cd97d15bbff5d10602615c8476c68e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,267,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,362,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,267,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7a2…5840backed Yes | 4c | 67,223$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 3c | 52,987$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.1 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…2225backed Yes | 0c | 50,429$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6296backed Yes | 1c | 38,310$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a56…2066backed Yes | 0c | 36,596$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f4…3b52backed Yes | 1c | 35,717$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…59c1backed Yes | 1c | 29,400$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…7418backed Yes | 0c | 28,667$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…c019backed Yes | 1c | 28,180$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…331ebacked Yes | 0c | 26,138$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…a1fabacked Yes | 0c | 19,864$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…58b3backed Yes | 1c | 19,310$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…8104backed Yes | 1c | 19,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2f…f3c6backed Yes | 0c | 18,867$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…fe91backed Yes | 0c | 17,658$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…99d0backed Yes | 0c | 16,355$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…a41abacked Yes | 1c | 15,963$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…5a28backed Yes | 0c | 15,495$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 41c | 13,748$5,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160.43 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 1c | 12,853$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 1c | 12,118$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…9b76backed Yes | 0c | 10,335$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 1c | 10,200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…1a95backed Yes | 0c | 10,032$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b5…05cfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…fd57backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41f…27fabacked Yes | 0c | 9,583$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fd…c893backed Yes | 0c | 9,301$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 74c | 9,258$6,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.07 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…63c3backed Yes | 2c | 8,050$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…22b6backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121c…0475backed Yes | 0c | 7,155$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…4f2ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 1c | 6,132$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf08…b700backed Yes | 0c | 5,833$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…daccbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…7049backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 0c | 4,667$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055e…de32backed Yes | 0c | 4,409$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbe…2586backed Yes | 0c | 4,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…d452backed Yes | 1c | 4,019$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…9a1ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,835$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 1c | 3,794$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…e64bbacked Yes | 46c | 3,682$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.75 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 13c | 3,525$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.09 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…d43ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,304$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 27c | 2,815$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.97 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 64c | 2,603$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.59 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…8bc8backed Yes | 36c | 2,427$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f1ccbacked Yes | 1c | 2,340$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…712bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,325$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…42e1backed Yes | 0c | 2,136$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…9a12backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc7…8a27backed Yes | 16c | 1,999$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 28c | 1,825$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.96 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6821…aff8backed Yes | 1c | 1,778$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 29c | 1,526$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.64 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…2357backed Yes | 1c | 1,509$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…3278backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked No | 76c | 1,454$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6251…e10cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,375$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 10c | 1,325$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 75c | 1,300$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 14c | 1,242$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.11 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 65c | 1,234$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.79 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c6…4054backed Yes | 8c | 1,213$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed Yes | 78c | 1,200$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 68c | 1,186$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.65 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…4f1bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,177$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 46c | 1,154$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.54 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…a6e8backed No | 40c | 1,098$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…0a9abacked No | 79c | 1,096$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 23c | 1,080$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.46 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 39c | 1,066$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.35 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 11c | 1,055$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.5 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 77c | 1,047$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.74 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…b627backed Yes | 1c | 1,021$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…5922backed Yes | 17c | 999.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 56c | 988.64$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.22 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…deb6backed Yes | 60c | 988.45$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.66 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 65c | 985.7$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 14c | 981.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 20c | 958.67$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.88 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…0425backed Yes | 32c | 923.17$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 36c | 913.74$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.78 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 12c | 905.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.51 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 75c | 888.58$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.53 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 50c | 855.46$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.41 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 24c | 809.29$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.5 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 56c | 799.26$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a4…1b15backed Yes | 5c | 796.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed No | 38c | 783.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.26 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 18c | 673.66$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 29c | 654.72$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 50c | 650$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 60c | 644.13$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.37 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.