Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Iran before September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x920859bb2ed3d1c063b6107ba7d29156d8efd0b205240cf941d59687b01b785a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $600,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $590,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9419…3aa4backed Yes | 13c | 60,098$8,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,092.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…1574backed Yes | 7c | 39,689$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 2c | 30,371$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.78 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 3c | 21,084$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.47 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f5…9663backed Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.97 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1db2backed Yes | 17c | 17,075$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…1792backed Yes | 4c | 16,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…3f7fbacked Yes | 4c | 13,930$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.26 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 74c | 12,950$9,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.67 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 6c | 11,792$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.15 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 8c | 10,319$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.42 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 8c | 6,291$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 5c | 5,650$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 8c | 5,409$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…6bbcbacked Yes | 6c | 5,372$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 10c | 5,347$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.02 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa891…6ed8backed Yes | 2c | 5,053$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,944$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.66 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…cb72backed Yes | 12c | 4,248$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.76 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…05bcbacked Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69cb…2320backed Yes | 17c | 3,569$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4d…01c7backed Yes | 3c | 3,486$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 10c | 3,445$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.57 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 3,219$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 6c | 3,056$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…9e5cbacked Yes | 24c | 3,010$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,951$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.23 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 9c | 2,838$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.44 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 26c | 2,659$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.76 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Yes | 18c | 2,555$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.86 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…de57backed Yes | 10c | 2,530$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…6fddbacked Yes | 4c | 2,430$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…1cc5backed Yes | 13c | 2,346$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad8…7559backed Yes | 7c | 2,129$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,059$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 72c | 2,019$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.24 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…fd07backed Yes | 9c | 1,888$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,783$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed Yes | 15c | 1,713$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…5922backed Yes | 2c | 1,677$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 4c | 1,653$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 74c | 1,525$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.74 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed No | 80c | 1,510$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…39f3backed Yes | 10c | 1,504$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 12c | 1,411$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.17 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 24c | 1,403$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…ba52backed Yes | 2c | 1,400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…ed3abacked Yes | 11c | 1,355$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…d29ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,235$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.09 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…0874backed Yes | 9c | 1,222$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,203$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.87 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 12c | 1,200$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed7…5f67backed Yes | 19c | 1,200$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd450…27cfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,170$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…565dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,162$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 4c | 1,148$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fe…a41abacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…186fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…606cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 67c | 1,091$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…762ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb117…8f3abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed Yes | 14c | 983.33$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Yes | 2c | 980$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 4c | 976$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 11c | 950$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 25c | 920$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Yes | 8c | 892$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…b4dcbacked Yes | 10c | 888.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…15a9backed Yes | 13c | 871.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe93a…a522backed Yes | 3c | 853.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f71…1016backed Yes | 5c | 850$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…5152backed Yes | 24c | 836.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 72c | 760.67$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.61 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 27c | 749.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…f70dbacked Yes | 10c | 735.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ee…a9dbbacked Yes | 3c | 706.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6225…bc21backed Yes | 7c | 699.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 652.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…0ce4backed Yes | 16c | 617.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +152.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…fe64backed Yes | 14c | 613.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…60c2backed Yes | 4c | 611.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 73c | 591.71$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…92d1backed Yes | 11c | 564.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed Yes | 10c | 550$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 62c | 523.21$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.29 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…19f4backed Yes | 2c | 522.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 9c | 514.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 202 | 35.6%72 W · 130 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd393…4d6cbacked Yes | 31c | 506.02$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…74e8backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca3…d3c8backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -12.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f38…29cfbacked Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 27c | 468.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…d32ebacked Yes | 9c | 450.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.