Us Politics · resolved market
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bd1327edfdbb3c23f8cc81094435aaa421f1f77a9eab6e867ff055905862a3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $928,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $968,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $928,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 15c | 66,706$10,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,022.08 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 15c | 49,817$7,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,571.52 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Yes | 14c | 13,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 12c | 11,604$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.09 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e3…4603backed Yes | 16c | 10,845$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 16c | 9,523$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.26 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb998…d9b2backed Yes | 20c | 6,995$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 6,316$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.35 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3201…6634backed Yes | 15c | 6,298$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 15c | 6,035$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.67 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…2393backed Yes | 15c | 5,855$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +297.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed Yes | 16c | 5,767$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.93 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes | 15c | 5,748$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Yes | 18c | 4,994$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 16c | 4,325$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 14c | 4,043$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.98 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 14c | 4,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…d481backed Yes | 17c | 3,797$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…e25abacked Yes | 15c | 3,711$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.58 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…8aa7backed Yes | 13c | 3,340$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…a58fbacked Yes | 19c | 3,313$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…0479backed Yes | 13c | 3,258$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Yes | 16c | 3,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 2,857$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.38 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 9c | 2,843$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 16c | 2,700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.8 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,650$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,534$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…5ee2backed Yes | 18c | 2,500$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.69 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…ae30backed Yes | 17c | 2,471$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17b4…3f75backed Yes | 15c | 2,266$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 3c | 2,253$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ce…f646backed Yes | 16c | 2,250$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…a2c8backed Yes | 10c | 2,194$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…f397backed Yes | 16c | 2,050$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…00c7backed Yes | 15c | 2,030$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…cb72backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…e8c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,853$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 15c | 1,845$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.88 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…0caabacked Yes | 14c | 1,773$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 20c | 1,757$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.45 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 18c | 1,752$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.97 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,750$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 21c | 1,716$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.97 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…fd07backed Yes | 16c | 1,602$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 16c | 1,568$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…49bfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,504$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…855ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…b251backed Yes | 16c | 1,426$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 14c | 1,416$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c7…1a7dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,379$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…c04ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,293$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…9313backed Yes | 15c | 1,262$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 17c | 1,260$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 19c | 1,252$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.87 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…2cfbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 12c | 1,162$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…18c5backed Yes | 4c | 1,123$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b0…c32abacked Yes | 16c | 1,082$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 15c | 1,082$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…e53bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,063$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…a3cbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,036$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…79a7backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…d3b8backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…a67dbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 17c | 999.04$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…8790backed Yes | 13c | 995.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 16c | 933.29$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 918.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 16c | 912.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed Yes | 14c | 900$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Yes | 16c | 862.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 6c | 861.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800c…e4c6backed Yes | 18c | 846.11$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 7c | 820.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…6cd7backed Yes | 18c | 804.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed Yes | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 17c | 799.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.81 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…da44backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 15c | 749.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d1…738fbacked Yes | 14c | 740$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…e72ebacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…8181backed Yes | 2c | 689.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…2eb3backed Yes | 6c | 683.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821f…c3ffbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…3ad9backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes | 7c | 664.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…1524backed Yes | 16c | 637.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.