Middle East · resolved market
Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b1e6e78bb13c970a2aff9d155734a6fa688637b87adb8ccd1c2e64f2922817b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce41…fa02backed No | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 5c | 17,746$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.83 | 96 | 4.2%4 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 11c | 12,200$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 3c | 10,133$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.02 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 10c | 7,976$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.19 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 13c | 7,613$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.51 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 2c | 7,374$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,917$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…66c5backed Yes | 9c | 6,354$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 25c | 6,060$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…9030backed Yes | 8c | 5,928$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…d3a2backed Yes | 0c | 5,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 5,553$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked No | 73c | 5,282$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1db2backed Yes | 20c | 5,012$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 9c | 4,689$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.98 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5afd…7e8dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,947$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 16c | 3,532$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.1 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 19c | 3,073$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.31 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,068$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 2,873$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.11 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,748$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.83 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 39c | 2,570$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…5ae6backed Yes | 2c | 2,463$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…eb95backed Yes | 2c | 2,169$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 5c | 1,964$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x112d…18b9backed Yes | 20c | 1,920$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb50…8cbabacked Yes | 1c | 1,846$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa168…b2f2backed Yes | 25c | 1,764$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 11c | 1,740$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 12c | 1,600$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…c47fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 3c | 1,510$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…9902backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 18c | 1,410$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,341$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 56c | 1,340$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…6deabacked No | 75c | 1,339$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e95…d070backed Yes | 14c | 1,321$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 77c | 1,279$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.15 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked Yes | 16c | 1,248$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 6c | 1,200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeada…58d1backed Yes | 3c | 1,175$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…fccdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,138$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5f…453abacked Yes | 18c | 1,131$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…28a6backed Yes | 12c | 1,085$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,063$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 8c | 1,034$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04df…642ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,019$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…769bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…7226backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…edb0backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af7…cd2dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc84c…4b4dbacked Yes | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…a3cbbacked Yes | 24c | 959.05$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…e491backed No | 75c | 936.93$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.93 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…1781backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Yes | 10c | 900$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf775…f3b3backed Yes | 11c | 897.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9e…3d06backed Yes | 12c | 891$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…3ef0backed Yes | 12c | 841$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 21c | 805.55$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 9c | 801.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…fea3backed Yes | 25c | 793.64$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1c…acecbacked Yes | 1c | 769.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f9…b711backed Yes | 21c | 756.78$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed No | 72c | 734.99$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…5d20backed Yes | 28c | 723.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a9…a313backed Yes | 1c | 708.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…9f4abacked Yes | 9c | 677$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 9c | 659.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f2…566dbacked Yes | 3c | 653.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…f59cbacked Yes | 11c | 635.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…04b7backed Yes | 2c | 615.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…f498backed Yes | 17c | 571.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…cda0backed Yes | 21c | 536.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0328backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…ed94backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…81fbbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030c…521bbacked Yes | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Yes | 18c | 499$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4121…7499backed Yes | 11c | 485.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -78%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…a363backed Yes | 15c | 473.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 77c | 467.34$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 12c | 467$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…7f4ebacked Yes | 11c | 456.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -78%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc95…508abacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4663…74b1backed Yes | 11c | 450$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…40a0backed Yes | 12c | 448.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca80…316abacked No | 70c | 420$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f8…330abacked Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 15c | 399.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.