F1 · resolved market
F1 Austrian Grand Prix: Safety Car?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25541772f2559fc7b8bd26e79460ecc6ffe98a11db8fc1d0ed5daa691ff52932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 39c | 1,185$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.43 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.37 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 59c | 789.5$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.64 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x63bd…55c9backed Yes | 60c | 702.03$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed No | 3c | 701.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 56c | 666$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…f8f3backed Yes | 62c | 642.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 40c | 597.66$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.72 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 40c | 481.03$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.79 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 41c | 333$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 42c | 250$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 42c | 240.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 41c | 236.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 40c | 204.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ee…068cbacked Yes | 58c | 171.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes | 61c | 164.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…cda9backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 61c | 163.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 39c | 150.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…45c5backed No | 50c | 120.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes | 58c | 107$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a92…ca9cbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 37c | 99.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66d…7fdabacked No | 54c | 92.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 57c | 87.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…6dc7backed No | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 40c | 65.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed No | 43c | 56.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…a728backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…1380backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…21dfbacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…381ebacked Yes | 62c | 45.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…da90backed No | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…6faebacked No | 47c | 42.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…6d9abacked No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889f…95b7backed No | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed No | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b92…afd2backed Yes | 59c | 37.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked Yes | 55c | 37.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 46c | 36.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed No | 35c | 33.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b52…b068backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…0868backed Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02e…ba56backed Yes | 60c | 28.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…2db6backed Yes | 65c | 26.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…5cd7backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3144…304cbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…8d36backed Yes | 58c | 22.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…c77bbacked Yes | 53c | 22.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 52c | 22.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…0b3abacked Yes | 55c | 19.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…9719backed Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.