Middle East · resolved market
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b1f056898dc90b83f05e70bf8c8118d19f8f63149cef2637c909070757cfd30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 62c | 26,538$16,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,217.28 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed No | 70c | 22,826$16,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,759.93 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 50c | 12,688$6,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.43 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 50c | 11,006$5,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.07 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 28c | 9,509$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.29 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…e64bbacked Yes | 5c | 8,512$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.01 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…81eabacked Yes | 45c | 8,000$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +107%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Yes | 54c | 6,144$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 5,245$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 41c | 4,883$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.7 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 32c | 4,150$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.78 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 60c | 4,000$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.24 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 66c | 4,000$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.17 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 61c | 3,860$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.81 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 5c | 3,799$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 60c | 3,440$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.16 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…82fabacked Yes | 46c | 3,301$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.9 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…0647backed Yes | 20c | 3,135$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.21 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…0a87backed Yes | 53c | 2,856$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…8414backed Yes | 23c | 2,613$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…aa15backed Yes | 51c | 2,266$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.83 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…4025backed No | 67c | 2,200$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 2,070$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,739$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.76 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…0ad5backed Yes | 6c | 1,673$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…3913backed Yes | 21c | 1,660$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed Yes | 30c | 1,645$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.8 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…a80fbacked No | 57c | 1,559$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 69c | 1,400$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.87 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 57c | 1,300$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 17c | 1,142$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.57 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…8c68backed Yes | 9c | 1,133$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed No | 55c | 1,040$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 9c | 1,005$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 15c | 999.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…29c6backed Yes | 20c | 999.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…757fbacked Yes | 66c | 960.09$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 847.75$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.02 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 55c | 775.24$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.86 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 27c | 774.47$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.82 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 40c | 724.54$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.51 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed Yes | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…8e97backed Yes | 48c | 696.32$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes | 47c | 680$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.48 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 13c | 650$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 7c | 640.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…ca81backed No | 80c | 633.42$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Yes | 4c | 602.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 33c | 528.47$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 41c | 513.04$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.35 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…1db0backed Yes | 14c | 505.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…c3f1backed Yes | 25c | 487.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 34c | 474$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.87 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 33c | 470.27$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 38c | 470$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.7 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed No | 45c | 469.12$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.71 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…2c08backed Yes | 37c | 457.12$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…4821backed No | 62c | 436.27$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 59c | 434.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.59 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 48c | 426.44$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.46 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…79e5backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 400$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 16c | 389.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 57c | 370$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…549bbacked Yes | 54c | 367.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 32c | 351.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 50c | 351$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.45 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 76c | 341.02$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…3654backed No | 76c | 338.92$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 16c | 317.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 34c | 317.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 317.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.35 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…23c9backed No | 71c | 317$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…177dbacked Yes | 24c | 299.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 290.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 24c | 274.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed No | 58c | 271.41$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 44c | 252.4$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…e44ebacked No | 61c | 246.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf59…3cf1backed No | 61c | 234.51$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed No | 50c | 227.15$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…85f7backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 42c | 209.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 69c | 206.25$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed No | 48c | 206.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 8c | 201.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479d…4ecfbacked No | 50c | 200.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 53c | 194$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24d6…58bcbacked Yes | 7c | 188.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…c072backed No | 42c | 188$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…f9bebacked No | 53c | 187.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…9831backed Yes | 31c | 185.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…68b6backed Yes | 15c | 183.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed No | 52c | 180.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b119backed Yes | 56c | 175.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.