Us Politics · resolved market
US out of WHO by Trump's first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x870f385257da23e3dccdf2bcc43d1d45e28dea5ec2be229a505ca07a7bf9a44d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 72c | 14,098$10,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.01 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 31c | 11,597$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.67 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 46c | 4,541$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.38 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 39c | 4,316$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.31 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 15c | 4,140$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.61 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 62c | 2,510$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.89 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 54c | 2,477$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.85 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 41c | 2,097$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.55 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 43c | 2,090$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.89 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 25c | 2,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.28 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 43c | 1,855$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…9477backed Yes | 58c | 1,739$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed No | 57c | 977.7$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.29 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 41c | 771$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.89 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 41c | 770.51$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.11 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…506abacked Yes | 55c | 711.85$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 39c | 699.52$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.32 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 23c | 676.82$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed No | 26c | 635.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 38c | 600$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 34c | 514.04$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.49 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 18c | 509.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…0667backed No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…7d8fbacked Yes | 39c | 410.25$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…35febacked Yes | 36c | 344.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 30c | 328.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.71 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…ee8ebacked No | 67c | 303.04$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 40c | 290$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 19c | 222$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 38c | 211.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f7…8569backed No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 65c | 205.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed93…e754backed No | 66c | 165.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 34c | 140$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2592…a74cbacked No | 62c | 128.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed No | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c3…7524backed No | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52e…61e4backed Yes | 78c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…45c0backed Yes | 29c | 104$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa003…ebefbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a7…84a8backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…6cdcbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed No | 33c | 98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…34f9backed Yes | 68c | 96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…3daebacked No | 23c | 94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…6ba7backed No | 70c | 93.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…a885backed Yes | 77c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 80c | 87.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…0d0abacked No | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…994dbacked No | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 41c | 78.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…b051backed Yes | 53c | 77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…f167backed No | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 50c | 76.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…2e92backed No | 23c | 72.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60aa…1a10backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…93fdbacked No | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae3…0888backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…4c19backed No | 29c | 69.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9a…3441backed Yes | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…001ebacked No | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…c392backed No | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…0ae8backed No | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5e…537abacked Yes | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb598…d81dbacked No | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 44c | 60.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9365…656ebacked No | 44c | 58.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 35c | 58.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6cd0backed No | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…49c3backed Yes | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e5…095cbacked No | 45c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…116cbacked No | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…564cbacked No | 23c | 53.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…6e42backed No | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 60c | 49.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc2…843bbacked No | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…ad26backed Yes | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 55c | 43.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbde…c3a6backed Yes | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…d95cbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…7a01backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 39.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…40a2backed No | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…4087backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…505bbacked No | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…8c9fbacked Yes | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…a02dbacked Yes | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed Yes | 38c | 33.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…9193backed Yes | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…7b7ebacked Yes | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.