Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5efb0aa6e52c9f1ac59115c48c1ad6e47920bc12869222f5db89b75b0f505bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xffc1…9a12backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508a…535ebacked Yes | 18c | 5,560$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked Yes | 17c | 5,200$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 0c | 3,600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,573$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.21 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 20c | 2,864$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.05 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 66c | 2,672$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.68 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Yes | 18c | 2,507$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 14c | 1,936$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.6 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 34c | 1,597$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.24 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…f3cabacked No | 72c | 1,469$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed No | 76c | 1,318$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.03 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…d452backed No | 68c | 1,267$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb539…cb26backed Yes | 20c | 1,242$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0eb…2d39backed Yes | 6c | 1,122$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4778…bb6abacked Yes | 12c | 1,041$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff5…9711backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 3c | 999.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x557c…c583backed Yes | 33c | 994$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…2decbacked Yes | 21c | 913.14$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 23c | 882.73$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 29c | 851.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 846.63$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.63 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed No | 79c | 810$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa246…b652backed Yes | 35c | 780.85$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 20c | 732.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.34 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…ab50backed Yes | 19c | 705.04$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed No | 63c | 679.99$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…2697backed Yes | 30c | 673.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 22c | 666$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 71c | 606.25$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…be70backed Yes | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 573.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…99d0backed Yes | 28c | 565.82$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…fd3bbacked Yes | 18c | 544$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 524.3$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.34 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 34c | 522$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.82 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5119…e038backed Yes | 20c | 511.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 25cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed Yes | 16c | 506.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 66c | 499.97$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 78c | 494.48$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…6161backed Yes | 13c | 435.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 19c | 411.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed Yes | 25c | 397.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed No | 69c | 369.38$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 12c | 353.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 37c | 303.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 21c | 299.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…9ff2backed Yes | 7c | 292.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1115…feb2backed No | 75c | 285$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…d94fbacked No | 71c | 281.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 74c | 273.14$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…d319backed No | 77c | 262$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…94febacked Yes | 19c | 241.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 72c | 230$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…4891backed Yes | 39c | 221.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes | 33c | 214.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…77fcbacked No | 79c | 212$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed Yes | 8c | 210.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…481fbacked No | 78c | 208.35$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…662ebacked No | 79c | 204$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…44bbbacked Yes | 10c | 203.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 42c | 200.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed No | 76c | 195.28$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…8790backed Yes | 11c | 192.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Yes | 19c | 187.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…c3b2backed Yes | 33c | 178.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…1685backed No | 70c | 171.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…9bbdbacked No | 79c | 164.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bc…87f3backed Yes | 16c | 162.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93da…558fbacked Yes | 35c | 158.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa957…ec3dbacked No | 63c | 147.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 69c | 145.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 28c | 140.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 75c | 139.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…3fafbacked Yes | 19c | 133.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ee…5ea5backed Yes | 8c | 133.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…a40abacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…be54backed No | 78c | 128.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…fb37backed No | 55c | 118.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…a16abacked No | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…95aebacked Yes | 31c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…ecbdbacked Yes | 43c | 107.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 29c | 106.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe409…aa26backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…e221backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 33c | 95.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 36c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.