Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3475251e433550ccef6acae8d70f9d6cf2e54e14a8db6c56699999702e040e43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 27c | 7,734$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.32 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Yes | 62c | 5,892$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.39 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 45c | 1,479$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.82 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 1,445$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.06 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,288$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.21 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,237$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.03 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 55c | 1,090$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.52 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…2771backed Yes | 50c | 1,039$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,014$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.58 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Yes | 49c | 809.39$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.39 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 34c | 790.03$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.2 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 54c | 777.51$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.51 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 63c | 631.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 567.97$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 64c | 550.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.72 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 55c | 505.06$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.23 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa6…f866backed Yes | 55c | 473.72$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 38c | 393.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 37c | 368.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8486…a51abacked Yes | 64c | 313.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…e3c9backed Yes | 64c | 286.22$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 62c | 238.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.42 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 227.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 210.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 39c | 208.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Yes | 49c | 206.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 205.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 64c | 204.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Yes | 51c | 202.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 74c | 202.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 164.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…cf06backed Yes | 60c | 163.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…7371backed Yes | 62c | 160.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 63c | 155.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 47c | 148.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 55c | 131$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…7bb3backed Yes | 51c | 122.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3ba9backed Yes | 60c | 114.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked No | 41c | 106.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…363ebacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 53c | 98.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 64c | 79.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 64c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…fafcbacked Yes | 63c | 70.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…376abacked Yes | 64c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…fca5backed Yes | 64c | 56.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…1d9bbacked Yes | 62c | 49.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Yes | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab2…818dbacked Yes | 61c | 40.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f3…3a31backed Yes | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…ed09backed Yes | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1354…19f7backed Yes | 53c | 32.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db1…d2bebacked Yes | 61c | 32.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…eacfbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…4a97backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…1615backed Yes | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 37c | 27.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…81fdbacked Yes | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes | 56c | 20.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands leading at halftime?this page
- Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Draw at halftime?No won
- Uzbekistan leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.