Fifa International · resolved market
Spain leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ceafa9fdf3da31a63ed90cae26226bb8e6faddeee43adbf36e60aa9e40a1b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 35c | 2,250$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.09 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 26c | 1,133$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,111$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.8 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 761.13$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 752.88$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.17 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab40…e764backed Yes | 66c | 313$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Yes | 67c | 294.14$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 240$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…cf06backed Yes | 66c | 239.71$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 66c | 228.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 32c | 206.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 66c | 197.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 183.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 66c | 173.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 64c | 155.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…a779backed Yes | 63c | 146.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 35c | 143.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bb…bd87backed No | 38c | 139.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 62c | 139.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 88.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…fafcbacked Yes | 63c | 79.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…81fdbacked Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddcb…1815backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 34c | 49.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…7975backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…d692backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…5575backed Yes | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cca…efe9backed No | 37c | 36.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 34c | 33.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Yes | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 32.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…d654backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb52…c35dbacked Yes | 65c | 31.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…376abacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…9659backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…1615backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 67c | 16.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain leading at halftime?this page
- Peru leading at halftime?No won
- Peru vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.