South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4a07d5e500889c9cb4d9be6aa9ecc80d91a128f1b97938f576418122365db3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 13,050$7,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,046.99 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 46c | 8,236$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.29 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 46c | 2,164$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked No | 46c | 939.13$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 53c | 649.44$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.17 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 48c | 400$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 377.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 311.73$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 264.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 46c | 227$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 203.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 47c | 199.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 46c | 199$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 183.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 79c | 131.54$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 77c | 116.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…a382backed Yes | 53c | 103.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 102.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 23c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 93.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 31c | 63.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 62.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 46c | 62.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Yes | 25c | 61.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 61.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 53c | 59.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 52c | 57.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af7…f5a8backed Yes | 56c | 53.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde52…c2c3backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…376abacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 27.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…90c4backed No | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-26?No won
- Will Racing Club vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.