South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x406d0652858e483f024cafcc3a4845016225eea8ee3c6081af4249a47fb069ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 54c | 819.22$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.63 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 780.93$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.41 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 21c | 691.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 486.67$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.3 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 361.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 224.57$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 41c | 193$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…9135backed Yes | 19c | 190.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 19c | 187.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 80c | 158.4$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 149.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 109.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 19c | 101.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 20c | 95.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked No | 68c | 78.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 20c | 76.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 24c | 62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…90c4backed Yes | 18c | 60.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 73c | 57.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 39c | 56.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 65c | 48.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 35c | 37.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 71c | 24.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will Racing Club vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.