Movies · resolved market
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62fa6529c0ad0314457c84f73cd0bd075d442515bd4817e8acab18e42d4552cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a43…b7bdbacked No | 19c | 10,894$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…ec13backed Yes | 80c | 7,311$5,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.23 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 65c | 6,751$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.49 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1f…ec98backed No | 44c | 6,269$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked No | 22c | 4,010$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.83 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 66c | 3,395$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.88 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…bc10backed Yes | 63c | 2,339$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 21c | 2,117$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.66 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 77c | 962.25$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.44 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…6412backed Yes | 60c | 899.99$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 79c | 893.93$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.32 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…008abacked No | 23c | 764.61$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 669.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5801…a4afbacked Yes | 80c | 650$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 63c | 566.98$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 65c | 566.12$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.31 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb796…58a8backed Yes | 78c | 564.12$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…ec41backed Yes | 68c | 505.81$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.52 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 28c | 496.31$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.82 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 64c | 460.83$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…b2c6backed Yes | 77c | 451.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 66c | 443.78$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…4cccbacked No | 30c | 434.62$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed Yes | 65c | 426.37$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…beddbacked Yes | 60c | 417.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 17c | 409.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6354…2b6bbacked Yes | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 42c | 355.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 49c | 345$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…07cfbacked No | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 30cpaid | +205.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0207…711dbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 74c | 234.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 29c | 224.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 18c | 210.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…1551backed No | 31c | 205.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…bbdbbacked Yes | 73c | 190$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…e93fbacked Yes | 80c | 186.25$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 77c | 184.3$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…3c7ebacked Yes | 60c | 165.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 14c | 157$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ed…e878backed No | 14c | 140.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -14.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…489fbacked Yes | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 13c | 131$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6a…58a5backed No | 12c | 122.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…0febbacked Yes | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 12c | 105.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…c042backed Yes | 47c | 105.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 28c | 104$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…172bbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…414dbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 14c | 98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 67c | 86.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…f21abacked Yes | 50c | 81.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 74c | 73.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…1015backed No | 17c | 71.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…fb0cbacked Yes | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…d681backed No | 19c | 68.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…0274backed Yes | 75c | 57.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce8…3352backed No | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Yes | 68c | 51.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…1d79backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…9bf9backed Yes | 76c | 39.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…b709backed Yes | 78c | 37.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…453dbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…9b9fbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…833dbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0073…822ebacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…376abacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…b357backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…a7e0backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…92c6backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…0f93backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…be6cbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…63fdbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f75…dc70backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaf…e6d5backed Yes | 62c | 17.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…aae5backed Yes | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)this page
- Will “Death by Lightning” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)No won
- Will “Nobody Wants This: Season 2” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)No won
- Will “Squid Game: The Challenge: Season 2” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)No won
- Will “The Bad Guys: Breaking In” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.