Movies · resolved market
Will “Nobody Wants This: Season 2” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5f52118bfebaf8b20a2cd8d132d634dbd11b9aee996d3a53dadb3ac12d20c2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 16c | 9,666$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.88 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…ac11backed Yes | 13c | 5,515$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…b7bdbacked Yes | 8c | 3,883$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…3a94backed Yes | 4c | 3,338$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,604$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…f785backed Yes | 12c | 930$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 7c | 872.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 7c | 795.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…1015backed Yes | 8c | 363$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…cbc3backed Yes | 22c | 314.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 285.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e7…83f9backed Yes | 18c | 275.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…58e8backed Yes | 15c | 259.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…c7bebacked Yes | 20c | 253.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…4cccbacked Yes | 4c | 250.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 15c | 250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed Yes | 8c | 202.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 185$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0e…8d9dbacked Yes | 17c | 172.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…0d21backed Yes | 15c | 148$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 12c | 124.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…aa2cbacked Yes | 17c | 118.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 78c | 30.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will “Nobody Wants This: Season 2” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)this page
- Will “Death by Lightning” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)No won
- Will “Squid Game: The Challenge: Season 2” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)No won
- Will “The Bad Guys: Breaking In” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)No won
- Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.