Fifa International · resolved market
England leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f315b0cc8b71536ecbdc8fcea2a4d135c76274e265141c12769efc6bb9b944d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 64c | 3,135$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.74 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 38c | 1,492$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.01 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 1,086$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.53 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,016$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.92 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 1,005$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.75 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 62c | 963.36$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.48 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 38c | 681.98$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.76 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 37c | 583.48$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 528.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 509.16$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 65c | 411.46$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 37c | 332.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 63c | 308.34$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 62c | 285.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 285.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 63c | 257.24$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 62c | 209$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 62c | 191.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…4bd4backed Yes | 64c | 182.81$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 67c | 148.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 36c | 139$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed Yes | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 67c | 104.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 63c | 99.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 36c | 80.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked No | 39c | 77.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…896abacked Yes | 63c | 75.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Yes | 67c | 72.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…3691backed Yes | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…7975backed Yes | 64c | 54.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…2777backed Yes | 66c | 53.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef81…1a9ebacked Yes | 64c | 47.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 63c | 47.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05c…ade7backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Yes | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…376abacked Yes | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…a28ebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…2597backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…51adbacked Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Yes | 62c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…7afbbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England leading at halftime?this page
- Costa Rica leading at halftime?No won
- England vs. Costa Rica: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.