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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,537 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked No33c54,203$17,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,958.454544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes66c25,067$16,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,555.512736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes65c17,691$11,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,126.951,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes66c17,042$11,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,805.712,00451.3%1,028 W · 976 L+41.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No12c14,741$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.18,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes68c4,593$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.7623354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes76c4,543$3,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.8530841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes55c4,001$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.7716543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b1a…36dcbacked Yes53c3,324$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.521330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c2,277$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.025,82145.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L+97.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No28c1,651$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.959649%47 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No33c1,253$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.471,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes65c1,159$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.65354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes66c1,079$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.233,44651.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L+21.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39013351.1%68 W · 65 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes79c973.68$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.0329747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No13c913.12$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.716823.5%16 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No38c854$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.871,44251.9%748 W · 694 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes66c760.6$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.92,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No45c713.24$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed No2c695.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.371428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes77c447.79$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.611,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1282…97f1backed Yes51c425.77$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10212741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51,36249.8%678 W · 684 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51,67850.8%853 W · 825 L-3.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes67c249.54$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.882,34651.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes60c249.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.235856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No27c216.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8784943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No33c206.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9813545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1069428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286119.7%12 W · 49 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6439853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x696c…dbe6backed Yes62c197.33$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No6c189.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.237133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No32c189.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.743420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8225925.1%65 W · 194 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes68c170$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.433745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…8da5backed Yes68c157.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4831226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed No34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes68c133$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4317066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed No40c123.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.522842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No32c115$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4815459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Yes66c112$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No35c110.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.171,46556.8%832 W · 633 L+55.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked No33c102.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.972240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No36c102.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.241,70252%885 W · 817 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Yes67c102.12$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.71681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512070%14 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes56c95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5411334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes68c93.01$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.764953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes58c88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2317436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5358…44e8backed No18c84.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.994450%22 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Yes63c82.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+84.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Yes68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb495…7c65backed Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.533250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes68c70.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5537851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea9…469bbacked Yes58c68.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.922450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No27c64.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4171619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes63c57.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4411637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed No52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.8wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+87.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No35c51.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9513548.9%66 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee3e…4116backed Yes59c50.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.97825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.89363.4%59 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Yes48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.267948.2%327 W · 352 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Yes68c44.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.313759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No34c40.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7150235.5%178 W · 324 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.28263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes68c37.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1212464.5%80 W · 44 L+0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0823542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No37c35.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2221659.7%129 W · 87 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb696…0e78backed Yes62c32.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7541541.2%171 W · 244 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Yes68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.64261.9%26 W · 16 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb1dd…376abacked Yes67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1cf…bfb3backed Yes66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed No43c29.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8611461.4%70 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…ca17backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c4…eb56backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a2…d591backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4123057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2246…e958backed Yes67c25.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed No45c25.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.623647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66a9…8d6bbacked Yes68c23.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e6d…24fbbacked Yes67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Yes68c19.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Yes80c18.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.761241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0941…1d22backed Yes61c18.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.05540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf3…ac67backed Yes60c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…299cbacked Yes68c15.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f39…634abacked Yes67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.95366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c69…b190backed Yes67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Yes78c13.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.93658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.