Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x380df672254e11f1fb2cad9ff72bc577a67c0e0e9be50ee9dac39d17cd5854e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 37c | 3,990$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.82 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked No | 13c | 1,602$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 33c | 1,422$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.79 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 1,350$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.79 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 58c | 908$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 853.83$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.92 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 70c | 607.02$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.23 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 54c | 520.07$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.23 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked No | 45c | 501.2$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 67c | 450$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 74c | 305.48$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 62c | 259.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 51c | 252.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 62c | 200.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 68c | 191$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 68c | 191$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 55c | 169.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 67c | 164.81$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…a779backed Yes | 70c | 160.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 62c | 138.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed Yes | 56c | 136.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c6…3610backed Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…2597backed Yes | 61c | 122.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 28c | 102.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 101.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 42c | 92.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 62c | 81.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…7bb3backed Yes | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 79.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 45c | 74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 67c | 65.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 52c | 49.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…271dbacked Yes | 41c | 48.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcb…1815backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…376abacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…9150backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes | 59c | 25.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…daabbacked Yes | 62c | 24.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Yes | 59c | 23.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…fde2backed Yes | 67c | 22.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 56c | 22.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…839bbacked Yes | 57c | 20.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…d61fbacked Yes | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina leading at halftime?this page
- Argentina vs. Honduras: Draw at halftime?No won
- Honduras leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.