AI · resolved market
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ed8142bfb7dedd29123c51d93e78d41bb11347a9dc99af028f8c26d379f7991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x261f…2fa4backed No | 0c | 45,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 64c | 7,309$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.54 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 5,825$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7661…208abacked Yes | 60c | 5,015$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked Yes | 69c | 4,220$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.35 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed No | 12c | 3,667$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked Yes | 54c | 3,641$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.59 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 26c | 3,379$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.45 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…fb2fbacked No | 20c | 3,022$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…61eebacked No | 9c | 2,874$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec7…f536backed No | 24c | 2,476$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed No | 10c | 2,356$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed No | 7c | 2,297$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +310.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 73c | 1,950$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.9 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 18c | 1,870$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.75 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de7…6190backed No | 10c | 1,859$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,536$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…feb7backed Yes | 69c | 1,461$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 9c | 1,411$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 43c | 1,306$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.32 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 78c | 1,288$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.59 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 77c | 1,279$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.7 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 25c | 1,256$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.67 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 1,116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 77c | 1,052$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4a…cd44backed No | 62c | 1,013$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.36 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 60c | 940.22$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.76 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 73c | 902.32$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.63 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed No | 34c | 828.42$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fd…b42cbacked Yes | 80c | 822.08$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…66e8backed No | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 36c | 791.61$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.55 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…224cbacked No | 27c | 780.73$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e4f3backed No | 3c | 754.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed Yes | 79c | 708.28$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…2a2fbacked No | 48c | 700$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…62e6backed Yes | 65c | 684.71$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 5c | 679.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked No | 40c | 663.81$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.52 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…5a5abacked Yes | 48c | 595.97$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 80c | 531.04$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6928…d7afbacked No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…4e08backed Yes | 73c | 462.37$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 441.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…2224backed No | 4c | 421.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…d43dbacked No | 28c | 414.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…fbfdbacked Yes | 50c | 403.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 360.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf7…c66bbacked No | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…2078backed No | 51c | 346.14$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…2971backed No | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 46c | 313.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 41c | 310.53$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 4c | 305.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…cc96backed No | 17c | 301.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +397.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa043…3e9ebacked No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 30c | 289.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…8ae8backed No | 6c | 280.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 23c | 278.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adf…8718backed Yes | 31c | 270.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes | 74c | 258.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976b…ff93backed No | 28c | 256.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c4…2781backed Yes | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked No | 21c | 238.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…5499backed No | 28c | 222.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 221.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed Yes | 46c | 216.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 61c | 209.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ccfbbacked No | 11c | 208.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 47c | 203.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a05…93acbacked No | 23c | 200.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 33c | 200.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.52 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248e…d3a8backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71d…5cbcbacked No | 7c | 198.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…b6e2backed No | 46c | 197.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7230…a3d2backed Yes | 79c | 195$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ad…9ebebacked No | 13c | 190.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cb…6e8fbacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x880f…9745backed No | 22c | 185.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 80c | 175.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…5dc4backed Yes | 80c | 170$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…bd40backed No | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…0822backed No | 24c | 161.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 41c | 155.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…34d2backed No | 17c | 150.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…206abacked No | 29c | 146.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +251.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…4cd7backed Yes | 69c | 145.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…657cbacked No | 29c | 144.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…ddddbacked No | 9c | 139.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 80c | 135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed No | 38c | 131.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +327.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 25c | 118.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55cf…cb47backed No | 18c | 108.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x716f…fb8abacked No | 28c | 107.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.