AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a0cc84209df8e25f2651148c15ca45841bf02133903a990ad2be56d8337efe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe806…406dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,174$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…9006backed Yes | 6c | 4,151$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 3,981$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 8c | 3,212$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.23 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 11c | 3,201$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.45 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked No | 77c | 2,883$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.27 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 2,535$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.75 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…c74abacked Yes | 10c | 2,526$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.72 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…d7a0backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a818backed Yes | 27c | 2,289$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.56 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…24a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,970$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…d76bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,962$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb4…fff5backed Yes | 3c | 1,962$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b7…b9bebacked Yes | 3c | 1,900$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…d3eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,684$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a713backed Yes | 7c | 1,670$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda04…d0edbacked Yes | 3c | 1,669$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…0d78backed Yes | 3c | 1,614$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…b808backed Yes | 2c | 1,589$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3d…a3e7backed Yes | 3c | 1,582$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 3c | 1,568$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c4…2781backed Yes | 31c | 1,563$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…ac63backed Yes | 3c | 1,531$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…dbf9backed Yes | 2c | 1,421$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…485bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,384$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 1,384$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be3…a4cabacked Yes | 2c | 1,316$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed Yes | 15c | 1,313$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…4ff5backed Yes | 13c | 1,276$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2d…7e4fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,261$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 1,238$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…f85bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,192$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fb…0547backed Yes | 3c | 1,163$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…b3f2backed Yes | 34c | 1,128$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7063…9b11backed Yes | 6c | 1,113$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe17…27b7backed Yes | 2c | 1,113$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…deffbacked Yes | 19c | 1,070$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…fb11backed Yes | 13c | 1,062$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…41f2backed Yes | 37c | 1,046$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…ee1cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,040$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 1,033$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 1,010$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,001$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7661…208abacked Yes | 37c | 999.98$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb3…8b91backed Yes | 2c | 933$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 874.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…7accbacked Yes | 2c | 854$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e55…6296backed Yes | 2c | 838$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…5033backed Yes | 10c | 833.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…aaacbacked Yes | 3c | 831$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf66…e5f6backed Yes | 3c | 813$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb972…9359backed Yes | 3c | 788$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed Yes | 10c | 739.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 19c | 724.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e7…d3a5backed Yes | 7c | 714$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 7c | 680.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4822…4fa7backed Yes | 15c | 678.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 16c | 662.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 34c | 659.88$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 60c | 643.19$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.71 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 26c | 636.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…efc4backed Yes | 5c | 618.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b28…7632backed Yes | 17c | 599.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…8854backed Yes | 3c | 596$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6928…d7afbacked Yes | 4c | 594.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3903…e027backed Yes | 36c | 586.16$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 11c | 576.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…54bbbacked Yes | 4c | 556.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 27c | 553.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…ee71backed Yes | 3c | 549$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…9ecfbacked Yes | 41c | 529.35$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653a…bfe1backed Yes | 13c | 525.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…47e8backed Yes | 63c | 511.2$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.88 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…b86fbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…e65abacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…4e01backed Yes | 3c | 494.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 78c | 486.14$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 11c | 471.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…f91bbacked Yes | 3c | 468$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 37c | 464.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880f…9745backed Yes | 13c | 448.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 33c | 434.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd70…bc7abacked Yes | 3c | 425$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 419.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd05…4d8abacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 40c | 415.34$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.94 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5a70backed Yes | 25c | 413.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a35…ce1cbacked Yes | 3c | 412$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 12c | 400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 34c | 396.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 32c | 383.92$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…fad9backed Yes | 5c | 377.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c7…bdbbbacked Yes | 8c | 363.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked No | 73c | 361.37$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…90c4backed Yes | 11c | 359.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…86d5backed Yes | 34c | 354.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 31c | 344.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 4c | 339.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 3c | 334.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.