Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Boise State Broncos vs. Butler Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dac8187d19e12acdeccf4ed8e235aa67dc71e20936d9d16859254c508990390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boise State Broncosof Boise State Broncos, Butler Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Butler Bulldogs | 44c | 11,064$4,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,868.09 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Boise State Broncos | 63c | 10,642$6,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,967.95 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Butler Bulldogs | 45c | 8,425$3,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.06 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Butler Bulldogs | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Boise State Broncos | 40c | 5,588$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.37 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Boise State Broncos | 35c | 3,932$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.55 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos | 51c | 3,608$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 46c | 3,133$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Boise State Broncos | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boise State Broncos | 50c | 1,692$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.23 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Boise State Broncos | 54c | 1,591$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.15 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Butler Bulldogs | 64c | 1,570$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.15 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boise State Broncos | 51c | 1,563$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boise State Broncos | 36c | 1,532$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Boise State Broncos | 45c | 1,499$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 58c | 1,302$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.99 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 1,139$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.93 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boise State Broncos | 47c | 842.03$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.07 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Boise State Broncos | 47c | 752.79$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.03 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Boise State Broncos | 72c | 510$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.94 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…9131backed Boise State Broncos | 47c | 373.6$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Butler Bulldogs | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Boise State Broncos | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Butler Bulldogs | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Boise State Broncos | 50c | 310$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Butler Bulldogs | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Butler Bulldogs | 45c | 230.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos | 45c | 214.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Boise State Broncos | 31c | 212.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Butler Bulldogs | 53c | 165$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Butler Bulldogs | 40c | 158.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Butler Bulldogs | 72c | 145.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Butler Bulldogs | 56c | 111$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Butler Bulldogs | 54c | 97.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Boise State Broncos | 53c | 81.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Boise State Broncos | 42c | 81.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Boise State Broncos | 49c | 71.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 71.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Boise State Broncos | 30c | 67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Boise State Broncos | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…5499backed Boise State Broncos | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Boise State Broncos | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb30…ad1dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 27c | 43.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Butler Bulldogs | 55c | 36.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 34.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Butler Bulldogs | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Boise State Broncos | 75c | 31.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…10fdbacked Boise State Broncos | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba2…91cabacked Butler Bulldogs | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Butler Bulldogs | 61c | 25.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boise State Broncos vs. Butler Bulldogsthis page
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-4.5)Boise State Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.