Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab591c1c6d79b165056cb1a1f76c0d226173b4d34598056e3051294b2cebc24c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 9,443$5,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.88 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 41c | 8,591$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 63c | 2,238$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46c8…6239backed Under | 59c | 965.91$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 43c | 919.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.61 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 58c | 861.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Over | 42c | 478.38$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Over | 54c | 425.61$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 70c | 402.89$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.02 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 70c | 383.44$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.26 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 45c | 364$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 38c | 319.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 44c | 257.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 41c | 227.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 55c | 196.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 42c | 181.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Over | 44c | 144.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 43c | 117.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 54c | 111.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 41c | 97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 48c | 89.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Over | 44c | 59.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…7b53backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…5fcabacked Over | 44c | 57.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Over | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 57c | 46.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 42.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Under | 59c | 34.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…a812backed Under | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4da…ae65backed Under | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5this page
- SSC Napoli vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.