Champions League · resolved market
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32ab5de092943432cb8a1931e971510eee5ed038e4bb4ac6d018372708d8ea06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSC Napoliof SSC Napoli, Qarabağ Ağdam FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2006…cc76backed SSC Napoli | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 2,347$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.25 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 2,230$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.87 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked SSC Napoli | 55c | 1,999$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.55 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 37c | 1,224$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.67 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed SSC Napoli | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed SSC Napoli | 34c | 800$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 46c | 669.56$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 62c | 650$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked SSC Napoli | 55c | 559.51$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 38c | 400.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…621cbacked SSC Napoli | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 41c | 289$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 48c | 231.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed SSC Napoli | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed SSC Napoli | 56c | 177.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked SSC Napoli | 50c | 128$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed SSC Napoli | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked SSC Napoli | 53c | 121.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…4300backed SSC Napoli | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed SSC Napoli | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked SSC Napoli | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 44c | 79.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cd…0abcbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 39c | 69.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 46c | 65.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…5fcabacked SSC Napoli | 53c | 57.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked SSC Napoli | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…61debacked SSC Napoli | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc00b…7f8dbacked SSC Napoli | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed SSC Napoli | 54c | 38.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 47c | 34.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked SSC Napoli | 53c | 33.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 48c | 22.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)this page
- SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.