Champions League · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb403ebce17e86c33a35eb157cd85d4768750e989ddf2ed007b745b67375116e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 45c | 530$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…cc2abacked No | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 456$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.47 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 56c | 398.21$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.62 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 286.88$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.09 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 44c | 272.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 149.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 49c | 120.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 49c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 75.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…8164backed Yes | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 55c | 55.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…187dbacked Yes | 52c | 28.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.