TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,603 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes47c18,994$9,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0013250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c11,250$5,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,308.581,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c4,106$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.962,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No54c3,833$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.124445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b6…2c52backed Yes1c2,400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No53c2,118$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.9433357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes46c2,011$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.196431.3%20 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed No61c1,640$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick70cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes46c1,561$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.064953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No55c1,384$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.9559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes50c1,250$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes36c1,250$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.796028.3%17 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d25…b1f4backed Yes46c995.96$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No55c841.58$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.7114142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No53c800.62$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.2620827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No53c800$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38022947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x856f…617dbacked Yes46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No53c567.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.153773%27 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes47c421.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.995947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No52c381.92$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b6…6232backed Yes45c353.19$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes46c302.52$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.164233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No53c292.75$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes50c286.98$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.512259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1159154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Yes46c219.26$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.864866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No62c209.38$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8024849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No52c172.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9513754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No61c171.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9215045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No57c163.98$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.156439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes27c156.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.88334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No52c151.92$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.921457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes46c136.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.593655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb84b…95b1backed Yes25c134.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes46c119.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes50c114.51$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2210951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce0…5fcabacked Yes49c111.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.572254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3308…6834backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…ddb5backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Yes50c99.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes46c93.48$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes22c88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.363250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes46c87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.025742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.24839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Yes46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80e2…9ff7backed Yes47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3318…a101backed Yes46c63.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes41c56.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.035046%23 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed Yes47c55.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.891442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes46c54.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.055844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512033.3%40 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c2…6784backed Yes47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x095c…4e88backed Yes46c51.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-49.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes47c51.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No50c50.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2628931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac1…6775backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5683…2381backed Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No55c49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.055944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Yes46c46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.162138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98c5…dd3bbacked No55c45.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.351936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13aa…cedebacked Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No74c40.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.519754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked No55c38.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.351668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No56c37.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.678651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes31c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4731051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Yes47c30.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.541040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdaf…7556backed Yes45c29.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.492755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf95d…ca8dbacked No66c29.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.19875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No70c29.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9436852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked No55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.271338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Yes46c25.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed No79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-48.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed No55c22.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15851.7%30 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No50c20.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1338744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d7…2eaebacked No65c15.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.