Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b7ffbf565d9cae69d44b38dcc856a8ca775d9706fcce58bb34a001c2c697a0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 15,786$8,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,395.55 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 45c | 7,900$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 44c | 3,770$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.26 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Over | 50c | 3,269$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 1,525$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.68 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 955.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Over | 47c | 949.09$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.07 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 40c | 697$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.38 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 382.15$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 49c | 310.29$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 50c | 300.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 287.45$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 52c | 192.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 165.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 54c | 161.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 47c | 137.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over | 49c | 125.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 58c | 110.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4d20backed Over | 52c | 100.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…dc27backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 52c | 96.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…5fcabacked Over | 45c | 64.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…fc69backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Under | 51c | 49.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Over | 51c | 42.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…3232backed Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 48c | 28.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa274…550fbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…1e3bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.