Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd6ddbb0d666c22996d1820d399c8f36afcec79b05cd8387449ca2c8cb0c5151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 846.12$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.82 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 376.23$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.05 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 54c | 368.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 116.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 45c | 87.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…e9adbacked No | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 37c | 28.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70e4…3f7dbacked Yes | 54c | 19.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.