Music · resolved market
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0f15a2e601a224e803babc18f2cb93442921dc45930ec0ecef32e48d8cac352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9bc…9ec0backed Yes | 22c | 22,125$4,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,246.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +1,145.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa525…1e7bbacked Yes | 18c | 11,205$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,135.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…5117backed Yes | 50c | 9,098$4,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,571.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed No | 50c | 5,727$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 45c | 5,099$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.86 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…6687backed Yes | 21c | 4,664$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +367.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…6a4cbacked Yes | 49c | 3,554$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 2,793$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…e971backed Yes | 71c | 2,347$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…a8ffbacked No | 71c | 1,984$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…6216backed No | 64c | 1,950$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…b5ddbacked No | 53c | 1,766$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 1,762$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 75c | 1,572$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.64 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…f29abacked Yes | 15c | 1,490$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +273.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…b36abacked Yes | 15c | 1,346$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +236.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 48c | 1,304$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.55 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…4d2ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,269$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +237.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 61c | 1,230$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.4 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…cf5fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,223$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +208.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda5…ee3abacked No | 4c | 1,212$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 14c | 1,080$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +186.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa181…ece8backed Yes | 49c | 1,016$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 34c | 993.99$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.98 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 949.34$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.69 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…3616backed Yes | 27c | 916.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +266.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 53c | 914.6$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.64 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 14c | 824.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.49 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 804.09$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.71 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 791.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 791$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.32 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 32c | 785.1$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 74c | 763.77$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4a23backed No | 28c | 745.05$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…d6cbbacked No | 30c | 700$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 60c | 675$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 12c | 672.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.42 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 20c | 639.83$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 29c | 627.04$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed No | 25c | 613.9$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.16 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +747.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…0d1fbacked No | 27c | 576.26$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 47c | 570.68$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.87 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 74c | 568.19$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 48c | 544.11$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.71 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 55c | 542.01$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…61eabacked Yes | 62c | 520$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…9cb9backed Yes | 44c | 450.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582e…9fa5backed Yes | 25c | 446.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +293.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 78c | 425.18$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 69c | 399.98$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 6c | 398.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.7 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 79c | 360$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 72c | 350$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 342.72$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.55 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 48c | 311.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…e08dbacked Yes | 7c | 289.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 8cpaid | +500.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5bb8backed Yes | 79c | 278.13$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 54c | 271.91$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 44c | 270$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…2e50backed Yes | 75c | 267.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 53c | 254.68$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 44c | 250.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 248$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.07 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 54c | 246.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.89 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…f8a5backed Yes | 10c | 245.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +882.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 45c | 243.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…625fbacked No | 62c | 226.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…8f53backed Yes | 64c | 216.82$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 48c | 216.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 47c | 214.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 52c | 208.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 68c | 202.72$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed Yes | 43c | 200.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 55c | 200.86$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 75c | 200$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 56c | 197.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 60c | 194.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…fd89backed Yes | 31c | 192.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1b…ddbdbacked Yes | 72c | 176$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 42c | 173.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 50c | 166.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ac…560ebacked Yes | 11c | 153.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +802.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 153$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 149.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 39c | 147.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…3b77backed Yes | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked No | 30c | 133.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked Yes | 77c | 129.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ba…3e29backed No | 27c | 129.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 53c | 123.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 72c | 120.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…e1ccbacked Yes | 59c | 117.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 79c | 111.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 108.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d4…316dbacked No | 28c | 107.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 55c | 105.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 58c | 105.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked No | 63c | 102.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?this page
- Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?No won
- Will Varna host Eurovision 2027?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.