Music · resolved market
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cfaa8fabad4d452be63950f47b07339ce192820df5d64569496fb91eb55b502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9bc…9ec0backed No | 20c | 15,245$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,233.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +1,145.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa525…1e7bbacked No | 25c | 6,008$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,517.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…b5ddbacked Yes | 56c | 5,279$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Yes | 77c | 5,250$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…ab14backed Yes | 69c | 3,376$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 47c | 3,034$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.12 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3007…763abacked Yes | 74c | 2,826$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 17c | 2,554$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 2,533$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.84 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 45c | 2,164$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 24c | 2,064$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.13 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +747.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…0d1fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,785$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 1,753$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.11 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 35c | 1,731$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.46 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked Yes | 55c | 1,561$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.8 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,353$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.77 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 69c | 1,350$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…232fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,202$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 37c | 1,177$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.28 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…9343backed Yes | 69c | 1,162$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,126$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.93 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 23c | 1,055$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.8 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 40c | 1,019$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,005$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.3 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 14c | 863.66$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 68c | 785.42$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…a8ffbacked Yes | 71c | 708.14$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…f2bebacked Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 27c | 688.74$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 679.06$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.02 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 39c | 675.02$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.69 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 14c | 668.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.91 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…61eabacked No | 74c | 649.99$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 14c | 635.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.1 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 22c | 630.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.84 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 61c | 605.16$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.17 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ac…d2bbbacked No | 10c | 595.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 47c | 548.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.89 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 46c | 539.66$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 63c | 517.47$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.24 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…1d9cbacked Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Yes | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +8,233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 49c | 483.01$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 36c | 471.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed No | 76c | 405$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 72c | 390.81$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked No | 11c | 355.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 20c | 347.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 65c | 327.59$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Yes | 74c | 290.8$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 69c | 281.46$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 45c | 271.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 51c | 268.56$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 30c | 264.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes | 20c | 259.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…d527backed Yes | 29c | 253.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 33c | 250$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +285.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 15c | 245.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.8 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 49c | 242.8$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 51c | 239.37$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab57…e05fbacked Yes | 64c | 238.86$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed Yes | 63c | 229.24$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…eb9fbacked Yes | 34c | 222.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 46c | 219.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 64c | 216.94$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 27c | 215.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 45c | 206.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 59c | 205.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 52c | 202.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 52c | 198.42$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 7c | 197.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…d637backed Yes | 80c | 188.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 36c | 188.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4611…0764backed Yes | 26c | 188.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…014ebacked Yes | 27c | 187.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 78c | 186.71$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Yes | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed Yes | 70c | 163.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adc…2b0cbacked Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…2100backed Yes | 78c | 158.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd579…8a6dbacked Yes | 29c | 153.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +502.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4c…8131backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51d…4982backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…cf4dbacked Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 20c | 127.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…5c24backed Yes | 75c | 126.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 75c | 124.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 42c | 123.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 22c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed Yes | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…bc1cbacked Yes | 72c | 119.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 73c | 115.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…3b17backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed Yes | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…ab66backed Yes | 71c | 107.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?this page
- Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?Yes won
- Will Varna host Eurovision 2027?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.