TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$406,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$402,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,270 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf588…2b81backed Yes1c127,945$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.8346943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes8c48,208$3,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,918.946,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No78c29,311$22,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,448.3115344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c11,167$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.232,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes17c9,234$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.426134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes22c9,000$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.061,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No79c8,000$6,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No80c6,262$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.43063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes22c5,935$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.713939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No78c4,882$3,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.0451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd414…6a0cbacked No79c4,433$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.942650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes2c4,236$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705313.2%7 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes35c4,080$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.9367042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8804862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes21c3,605$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.0521253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No79c3,165$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.566354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes13c2,672$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.233010%3 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Yes69c2,657$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked No79c2,241$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.511457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No25c2,037$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.086650%33 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes51c1,963$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.6526319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Yes18c1,943$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes22c1,732$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.0412454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes75c1,709$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.2469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes20c1,685$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.014944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c1,586$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.544,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a6b…4e3ebacked Yes6c1,573$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes22c1,564$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.7175850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9919729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d91…5c46backed Yes2c1,360$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No79c1,360$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.351,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes16c1,337$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.881,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed Yes80c1,331$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick72cpaid-67.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes5c1,271$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.061,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No80c1,077$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.282740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes14c1,047$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed No79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes3c965.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2718124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No64c954.93$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.4277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes17c938$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9815735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No33c844.96$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.0496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes20c832.69$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.541,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073c…6a81backed Yes1c789.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-57.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4354…89a9backed Yes22c727.27$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No78c699.95$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes21c670.14$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7320027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes10c630.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.572,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10823531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes16c600$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.73716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011755.6%65 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes3c510.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.355927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No30c510$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.67138%27 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes20c505.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0111232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked No79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.297082.9%58 W · 12 L+14.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+37.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10511923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb9…fd83backed Yes72c457.82$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.611181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes16c436.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.241344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes19c432.54$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9515944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes19c426.32$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8125225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes5c355.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.361040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Yes73c349.93$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.046363.5%40 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes20c336$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.851,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes20c332.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5585748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e3…0662backed Yes9c326.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No79c299.96$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9925648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes18c276.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3771…54b3backed Yes11c268.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked No80c262.81$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.815749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Yes22c250.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060445.4%274 W · 330 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52825%7 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Yes21c245.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.52231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes14c230.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4510341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes19c216.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.31,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…25e6backed Yes22c215.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes17c209.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8373458.6%430 W · 304 L+47.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0c9…2498backed Yes22c204.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.95825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaaa…f91dbacked Yes16c203$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.482941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1645224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec81…0a74backed Yes5c199.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaef2…1255backed Yes20c196.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes13c186$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3724146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Yes16c185.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.666055%33 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409828.6%28 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes22c180$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.645751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No51c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5610053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed Yes22c165$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.32825%7 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-42.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed Yes19c153.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.921457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71ea…1ff9backed Yes8c146.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308737.9%33 W · 54 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.