Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7934cdf8d6cdb4b883d8077fea415a357642e6ceba70db4d4af2f4c5303d9b64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 31c | 50,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,399.99 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 23,387$16,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,901.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 68c | 19,746$13,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,401.55 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 71c | 3,083$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.62 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 479.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.95 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked No | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 67c | 299.89$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 6c | 199.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 157.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 67c | 150.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 12c | 150.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…7112backed Yes | 67c | 95.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 82.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac74…f0eebacked Yes | 68c | 80.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a9a2backed Yes | 67c | 73.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes | 68c | 70.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 75c | 35.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…0333backed Yes | 71c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…271dbacked Yes | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 68c | 14.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.