Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfef6b40617928bbc9d57731aec577705876088722c429d27e89a95fa85d64ca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 52c | 19,979$10,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,589.88 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 51c | 5,731$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.38 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 1,658$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.59 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 5c | 764.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 34c | 600$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 48c | 525$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 51c | 395$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.55 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 294.41$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes | 38c | 270$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 49c | 254.59$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 140.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 48c | 132.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 50c | 79.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 23c | 79.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 78.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 53c | 58.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 49c | 54.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 51c | 19.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
- Will Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.