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La Liga · resolved market

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,953,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,476,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,953,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 747 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked No26c485,634$126,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126,445.513321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ba6…644cbacked Yes74c411,304$304,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,938.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes73c334,250$245,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,721.7719943.2%86 W · 113 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No23c248,193$58,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,202.2417051.2%87 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes73c186,778$135,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,303.198852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No27c185,905$50,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,416.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No26c140,521$36,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,277.732751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No24c140,324$33,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,392.621,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No23c92,483$21,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,216.776421.9%14 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No4c70,688$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.764,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No26c70,374$18,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,616.17722.1%17 W · 60 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No28c44,029$12,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,328.145743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes73c42,030$30,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,348.176165.6%40 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes73c35,197$25,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,507.8154338.5%209 W · 334 L+2.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed No27c27,750$7,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,492.6340%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96c2…5741backed Yes73c26,972$19,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,282.57683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+60.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No28c25,473$7,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,132.437040%28 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No7c25,000$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.512927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes72c20,659$14,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,808.311,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x573a…dcbfbacked No0c20,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes73c20,000$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4002339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Yes72c19,500$14,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,410540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No27c19,180$5,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,178.572737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No28c18,483$5,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,175.044040%16 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes74c18,221$13,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,737.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No9c17,808$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.271323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No27c17,629$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,750.062,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf584…3979backed No14c17,567$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x620b…2e9fbacked Yes73c17,000$12,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,589.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes73c16,286$11,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,384.5113641.9%57 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No27c13,000$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.974223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes76c11,531$8,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.761346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f21…82d6backed No27c11,040$2,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Yes73c10,217$7,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,758.472157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes80c10,039$8,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.064647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No3c10,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No27c9,259$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.9253149.5%263 W · 268 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes72c8,879$6,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.146238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a4…3c66backed Yes75c8,794$6,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes74c7,634$5,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No28c7,500$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes77c7,278$5,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.53,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes72c6,906$4,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.5911055.5%61 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No27c6,800$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.981442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No27c6,730$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.186656.1%37 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes74c6,590$4,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.411070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No27c6,504$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.3218146.4%84 W · 97 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes72c6,175$4,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.475149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No27c6,093$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.4670356.2%395 W · 308 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9910345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No10c5,700$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.7890543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No5c5,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No20c5,348$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.061,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed No27c5,244$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.861040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes73c5,049$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.2831631.6%100 W · 216 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35014647.9%70 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed Yes72c4,842$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.091457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6aa…4e0ebacked Yes74c4,105$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes74c4,091$3,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.6422539.6%89 W · 136 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Yes73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0802373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.981346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d2…d599backed Yes72c3,945$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No26c3,803$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.9847749.7%237 W · 240 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No27c3,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8121944.3%97 W · 122 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes73c3,257$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.4348548.9%237 W · 248 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes73c3,102$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.6316047.5%76 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed No27c3,087$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-63.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed No5c2,980$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+60%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.731258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f5…4653backed Yes73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.734100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No26c2,739$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.139529.5%28 W · 67 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce0…97afbacked Yes74c2,715$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+74.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f85…3364backed Yes73c2,644$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e62…17c2backed Yes78c2,560$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.343100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes77c2,530$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.6435934.8%125 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No1c2,508$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5812050.8%61 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No20c2,437$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.7673549.7%365 W · 370 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed No17c2,426$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed No29c2,337$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.733432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Yes73c2,285$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.97785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No27c2,113$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.883836.8%14 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-87%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No28c2,051$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.374822.9%11 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No4c2,019$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6618661.3%114 W · 72 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Yes72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.982045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No17c1,988$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.952343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No24c1,915$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes72c1,841$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe97c…b807backed Yes73c1,839$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No2c1,828$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8612053.3%64 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked No28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes72c1,764$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.9810536.2%38 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014253.5%76 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes79c1,715$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.895151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No27c1,714$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.952748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No15c1,698$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3387939.9%351 W · 528 L-20.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Yes73c1,675$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.17666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.