La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc62e760db7f4717daa46d3a24ad1e7f904f964abd769f2986f172653d9d65476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 11c | 40,000$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.74 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 18c | 24,485$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.79 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 17c | 15,555$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 17c | 10,034$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.78 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 7,866$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.42 | 1,187 | 32.4%385 W · 802 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 17c | 5,882$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 9c | 5,505$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.94 | 924 | 43%397 W · 527 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 4,450$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,466 | 45%659 W · 807 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 17c | 2,801$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.25 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 17c | 1,673$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.75 | 809 | 50.3%407 W · 402 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…de75backed Yes | 17c | 1,330$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 12c | 952.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 17c | 947.68$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 749 | 49.8%373 W · 376 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafef…f50ebacked Yes | 17c | 936.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Yes | 17c | 900$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…67debacked Yes | 14c | 839.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 13c | 761.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 381 | 44.9%171 W · 210 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 10c | 757.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 510 | 48.6%248 W · 262 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 12c | 257$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 891 | 39.8%355 W · 536 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7af…7373backed Yes | 17c | 208.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…6215backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…6fcfbacked Yes | 17c | 115.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8997…eb15backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Yes | 16c | 103.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…7217backed Yes | 18c | 102.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1e…ed40backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 16c | 85.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 16c | 84.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 477 | 49.7%237 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 16c | 79.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 18c | 75.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-23?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.