La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fd990f1c60cae3943bd48b7633549612ed34a330dc0790f1b1d871ce78dc74f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 15,420$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.71 | 1,187 | 32.4%385 W · 802 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…b1babacked Yes | 11c | 12,727$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…b6cbbacked Yes | 11c | 8,133$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed Yes | 10c | 7,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 10c | 6,595$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.47 | 532 | 49.4%263 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 9c | 6,508$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.68 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 2c | 5,254$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 9c | 4,221$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 9c | 4,072$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.97 | 743 | 50.2%373 W · 370 L | +18.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 3c | 3,709$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 924 | 43%397 W · 527 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,602$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.19 | 2,394 | 48.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 10c | 3,467$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.72 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 1c | 3,156$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 1,466 | 45%659 W · 807 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…90bebacked Yes | 0c | 2,865$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,843$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.59 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 11c | 1,888$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 3c | 1,884$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 381 | 44.9%171 W · 210 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…e264backed Yes | 11c | 1,813$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 10c | 1,490$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 1,387$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1,645 | 38.6%635 W · 1,010 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,327$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 10c | 1,323$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.29 | 477 | 49.7%237 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 10c | 1,308$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…eb57backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 5c | 989.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 678 | 39.2%266 W · 412 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 10c | 965.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 3c | 843.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 483 | 38.3%185 W · 298 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Yes | 10c | 753.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 10c | 635.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 809 | 50.3%407 W · 402 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 8c | 608.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…358fbacked Yes | 2c | 562.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…5448backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…b195backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 11c | 522.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 335 | 31.3%105 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked Yes | 10c | 494.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 4c | 422$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 10c | 420$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 277 | 52.7%146 W · 131 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 6c | 406.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 10c | 377.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 220 | 22.3%49 W · 171 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…2f7dbacked Yes | 11c | 345.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 11c | 326.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…3e4abacked Yes | 10c | 299.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…b4b5backed Yes | 9c | 282.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 11c | 247.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Yes | 11c | 242.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 10c | 241.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…449cbacked Yes | 10c | 236.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 10c | 226.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…7400backed Yes | 9c | 218$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Yes | 10c | 207.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 10c | 195.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 10c | 195$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 862 | 50.2%433 W · 429 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…d839backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…9042backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…7217backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 7c | 181.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 9c | 169.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Yes | 10c | 147.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 11c | 119.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 10c | 101.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…a686backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…3e21backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24d…2121backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-23?this page
- Will Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.