NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2433519f8d679c4730f8a917afdd504d40d639b953802736a0ae1daa1c3343b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Heat | 31c | 42,703$13,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,098.82 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 10,622$7,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.14 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cavaliers | 78c | 9,930$7,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.05 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 8c | 6,585$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 4c | 4,883$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.23 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Cavaliers | 69c | 4,426$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.94 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 4,362$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.58 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…ba26backed Cavaliers | 73c | 3,970$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d8…22a9backed Heat | 27c | 3,600$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 3,397$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.33 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Cavaliers | 68c | 3,284$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.83 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Heat | 4c | 3,153$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 78c | 3,112$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.6 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 27c | 3,050$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.44 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Heat | 31c | 3,000$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.95 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Cavaliers | 68c | 2,912$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.76 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Heat | 33c | 2,787$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.56 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…df03backed Cavaliers | 80c | 2,490$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 27c | 2,322$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.05 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 70c | 2,189$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.24 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 3c | 2,099$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Heat | 29c | 1,939$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.1 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…4cd5backed Heat | 32c | 1,900$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,892$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.95 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 1,741$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.21 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 1,650$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.49 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…ba4abacked Cavaliers | 76c | 1,597$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Heat | 27c | 1,580$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 1,526$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.71 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Cavaliers | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Cavaliers | 76c | 1,331$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.7 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…4589backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,326$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.39 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 75c | 1,289$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.14 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 1,233$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.49 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Cavaliers | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 1,191$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.39 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 2c | 1,176$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3948…b9b6backed Heat | 32c | 1,163$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…8577backed Cavaliers | 69c | 1,163$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cavaliers | 73c | 1,077$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.74 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Cavaliers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Heat | 1c | 999.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 70c | 947$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.1 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…8f2bbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 906.85$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 1c | 808$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 16c | 806.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 66c | 800$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.55 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Cavaliers | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Heat | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 2c | 711.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Heat | 32c | 681.24$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.99 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 680.65$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.81 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Cavaliers | 79c | 634.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 28c | 575.53$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Cavaliers | 69c | 555.38$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.84 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Cavaliers | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cavaliers | 72c | 464.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Heat | 31c | 430.88$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Cavaliers | 72c | 419.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d9d4backed Cavaliers | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…a2c1backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…4ae7backed Cavaliers | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d6eabacked Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…39a8backed Heat | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Cavaliers | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…5090backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…87c7backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…40fabacked Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Cavaliers | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…41f3backed Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…6ca5backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…6b7bbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…8f94backed Cavaliers | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…66a4backed Cavaliers | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…5d99backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…629cbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…560cbacked Heat | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e576backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…ab59backed Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…eb5cbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…a680backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…ebb3backed Cavaliers | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…f8b6backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…e0b1backed Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…d6b4backed Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…a490backed Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…63d9backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…0982backed Cavaliers | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab8…7b58backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…fcbdbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…888abacked Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…aff7backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…8767backed Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…9e5ebacked Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…caaebacked Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba1…8a72backed Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…25dbbacked Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.