TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Lakers, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$648,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$722,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 575 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Mavericks35c46,322$16,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,085.4611842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Mavericks79c27,224$21,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,642.4611164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers50c24,584$12,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,372.423,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Mavericks54c22,635$12,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,493.838921.3%19 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x824c…d2bbbacked Mavericks31c20,677$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,306.464238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Lakers66c19,599$12,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,926.719557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb93d…8949backed Mavericks35c17,041$5,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,076.41428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Mavericks30c13,831$4,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,714.329250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe693…7475backed Lakers71c12,929$9,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,179.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Mavericks59c11,035$6,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,572.666744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…34b4backed Lakers64c10,497$6,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,707.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers15c10,044$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.61,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Lakers70c10,000$6,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,949.9872241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Lakers70c9,907$6,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,966.0715763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Lakers1c8,901$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.015935.6%21 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Lakers47c8,075$3,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,807.8529043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fad…171ebacked Mavericks29c8,002$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,681.744100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+93.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Lakers16c7,323$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.7215741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Lakers44c7,292$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,176.2361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks31c7,033$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,852.911,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks29c6,220$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,403.5296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks32c6,219$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,257.6650245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Mavericks31c5,478$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,787.9215551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Lakers71c5,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,55025651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks28c5,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.8840627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3a…3021backed Mavericks29c4,932$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,502.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3c…11d0backed Lakers69c4,641$3,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2021540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Mavericks28c4,250$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.9746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Mavericks32c3,399$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.1711656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Lakers9c3,262$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Mavericks31c3,184$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.718851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4205…46a7backed Mavericks32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1254158.5%24 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Lakers68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Lakers58c2,963$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.5419350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Lakers66c2,911$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.462351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb586…7f97backed Lakers65c2,647$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.263743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Mavericks29c2,571$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.346253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3c…502dbacked Mavericks43c2,409$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.241127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Mavericks78c2,318$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.125267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers68c2,273$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.4673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed Lakers69c2,227$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+101.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Lakers50c2,181$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.0765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2577…aa48backed Lakers69c2,100$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x769f…d2c2backed Mavericks32c2,100$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Lakers6c2,095$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.270147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Mavericks31c2,010$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.929635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Lakers70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40030251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb8…e817backed Mavericks35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Lakers51c1,996$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.6515947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Mavericks68c1,972$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.043528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Lakers71c1,933$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.284949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Lakers46c1,876$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.4417141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Lakers71c1,839$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30016261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d7…a8febacked Lakers10c1,829$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Lakers72c1,667$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20015558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks37c1,642$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.485347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Lakers4c1,618$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.851,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Mavericks47c1,598$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.7517243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x808f…89d1backed Lakers68c1,538$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Mavericks30c1,500$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.4729148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Lakers3c1,409$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1826235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe6…2255backed Lakers71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.02850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Mavericks28c1,400$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0085947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…dafdbacked Lakers69c1,320$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.942152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa611…eacdbacked Lakers71c1,300$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f0…fc9abacked Mavericks30c1,257$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mavericks32c1,250$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Lakers3c1,243$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0534425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Lakers46c1,148$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.6239843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe91d…81dfbacked Lakers71c1,132$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004573.3%33 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers3c1,100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a82…85c5backed Lakers71c1,079$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Lakers72c1,078$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7765269.2%36 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd94f…8936backed Lakers51c1,076$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Lakers69c1,057$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.5819845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Mavericks29c1,055$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.173627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Mavericks72c1,039$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.9326547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Mavericks32c1,008$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.536229%18 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers70c1,000$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69589353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Lakers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Mavericks66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3407741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mavericks30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x212a…1873backed Mavericks37c999.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers66c999.98$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.991,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Lakers69c972.34$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.9111662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Lakers25c950.49$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.0931935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed Lakers70c908.73$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.112646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Mavericks30c899.97$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.6272341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Lakers70c842.45$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.118548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mavericks29c839.74$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.2120047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers66c834.99$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.1468642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8c…1f3fbacked Mavericks32c810.31$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.011070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc1a…188dbacked Lakers69c810$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6d…7c15backed Lakers54c793.09$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.23847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9f…0cdfbacked Mavericks40c792.79$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.436844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks32c783$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.0477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37cd…5b44backed Mavericks26c767.93$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.513043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Lakers65c767.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006560%39 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Mavericks29c749.98$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.4975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…07d4backed Mavericks46c702.64$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.