Us Politics · resolved market
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9f2fb30f552eb33e0c9a078c26013a23955b33d3e64dc553d385328eadcab3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $659,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $650,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $659,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 5c | 24,587$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.7 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…c5afbacked Yes | 14c | 20,042$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…d549backed Yes | 9c | 19,182$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…4a57backed Yes | 16c | 16,591$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 34c | 15,458$5,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,242.9 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…fecdbacked Yes | 5c | 13,418$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914f…1025backed Yes | 7c | 11,897$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…3e00backed Yes | 37c | 10,000$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 6c | 9,859$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 62c | 9,426$5,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.48 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed Yes | 10c | 8,563$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.43 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 5c | 8,330$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.42 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 3c | 8,168$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 53c | 7,273$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12da…d12dbacked No | 62c | 6,858$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…b808backed Yes | 1c | 6,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3d…3fddbacked No | 63c | 6,429$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a3…b45fbacked Yes | 18c | 6,022$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…ff35backed No | 50c | 5,115$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…3ef8backed Yes | 4c | 4,272$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…4e7abacked Yes | 8c | 4,000$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed Yes | 15c | 3,933$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed Yes | 9c | 3,929$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.43 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 15c | 3,617$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.03 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 13c | 3,357$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.75 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf249…8662backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe17…6668backed Yes | 7c | 3,300$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 8c | 3,291$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.25 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…2f14backed Yes | 9c | 3,282$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…2765backed Yes | 9c | 3,245$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…506abacked No | 53c | 3,075$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 67c | 3,023$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…9611backed No | 30c | 2,801$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea67…4691backed No | 30c | 2,800$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…23d5backed No | 30c | 2,800$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ae…fc14backed No | 30c | 2,800$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…f54bbacked No | 30c | 2,800$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed Yes | 22c | 2,732$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de8…5d68backed No | 30c | 2,700$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 61c | 2,602$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.62 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 2,588$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.37 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…b9a1backed No | 65c | 2,555$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed Yes | 20c | 2,529$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…4c88backed Yes | 8c | 2,518$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Yes | 6c | 2,476$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f13ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,397$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…1269backed Yes | 13c | 2,385$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…e290backed Yes | 13c | 2,385$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…1fbdbacked Yes | 10c | 2,331$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…75debacked No | 44c | 2,274$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Yes | 10c | 2,211$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…2c3ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,193$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 15c | 2,192$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.24 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…8189backed Yes | 70c | 2,100$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 2,074$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.57 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…caefbacked No | 39c | 1,927$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…a7f8backed No | 30c | 1,900$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…c470backed No | 30c | 1,900$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…21bdbacked No | 30c | 1,900$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8074…2d60backed No | 31c | 1,900$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…5929backed No | 31c | 1,900$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Yes | 9c | 1,695$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…630abacked Yes | 27c | 1,611$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 19c | 1,601$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 47c | 1,540$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.85 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0681…f713backed No | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6de…4310backed Yes | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…22cfbacked Yes | 69c | 1,457$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f1…5cd2backed Yes | 70c | 1,420$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 61c | 1,419$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…9a38backed Yes | 70c | 1,411$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…77e1backed Yes | 70c | 1,410$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d7…2124backed Yes | 70c | 1,401$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…2e80backed Yes | 70c | 1,401$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…5a49backed Yes | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb265…12c7backed Yes | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…2760backed Yes | 70c | 1,399$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d0…202fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,390$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96e…c485backed Yes | 70c | 1,389$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7644…3189backed Yes | 70c | 1,380$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…2a75backed Yes | 70c | 1,300$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a3…78f0backed Yes | 15c | 1,288$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2be…cb3fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,234$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…0b73backed No | 73c | 1,212$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…3f84backed Yes | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 14c | 1,165$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…c828backed Yes | 25c | 1,114$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…7d51backed No | 30c | 1,100$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c8…259abacked Yes | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,081$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…561dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,071$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…68a4backed No | 71c | 1,041$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…6844backed Yes | 10c | 1,035$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 62c | 1,011$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.31 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87d…85f3backed Yes | 10c | 1,008$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 20c | 1,007$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.7 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…d49abacked Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…0f3abacked Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.