TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford win on 2024-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes33c16,635$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No67c10,847$7,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,579.8540254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed No67c3,030$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005959.3%35 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes33c1,321$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.2668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No69c1,221$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.8414659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No66c1,196$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.6479650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes33c1,110$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.7129238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No67c999.94$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9815337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed No67c999.93$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.983447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No75c965.53$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1711657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No66c899.98$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9937841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes33c769.88$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0611937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes21c502.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16522050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506230.6%19 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…0c53backed No70c366.79$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.09757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes31c322.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.129643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9942755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8024566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No68c222$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1517143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes31c179$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9915554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1efa…6a86backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No68c149.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes31c135.23$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9215636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa01c…6b40backed No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes33c134$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.092030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes11c111$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2132736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd89a…18e7backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa39d…3b32backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0123…9004backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fae…7db4backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c74…2a8dbacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef35…1fddbacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+111.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6255…40b6backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-51.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c8a…1415backed Yes32c77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88a…da93backed No68c77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2f…09a9backed Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254946.9%23 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e77…32fabacked Yes35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked No66c71.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.45653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.493161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1adf…8895backed No69c66$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.46475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fc5…7f41backed Yes31c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78b2…1a18backed Yes31c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b94…2624backed No69c66$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+101.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked No73c61.78$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.783748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f93…5cd4backed Yes32c61.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202737%10 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0800…5c7fbacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21df…b73cbacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0058…1463backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick54cpaid+91.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb68f…7e50backed No68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4a…5620backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7271…4a21backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc6…3b03backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d4…c368backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c31…da86backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962d…cf22backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2890…14c9backed Yes32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb618…fec3backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72a…4cb0backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aef…16b6backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a54…a2debacked No68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…bff2backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699e…e3dbbacked Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc85a…fa07backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1053…f87bbacked Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde70…079fbacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa565…f37abacked Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x245d…bb09backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1743…b9a9backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf869…feacbacked Yes32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7575backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae7…2a9ebacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbfc…3e6cbacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb733…5011backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40bb…52afbacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad23…b0a3backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d7…8785backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e60…e745backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae29…6d0bbacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f6d…35e2backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf685…fa0abacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc2…bc5dbacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacca…04b2backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fe…2835backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b9b…d2b5backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5558…ccdabacked Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d86…a395backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfa…17e1backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ad…28b7backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8f…a5eabacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc68c…0434backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8909…a84bbacked Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1450…0275backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ee…06a9backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.