Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. Brentford end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7813c945b4a28216cebd22f0e2c440d4f2c556d4d13d6bbb33bae16942a21e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 53c | 1,258$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.81 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 13c | 1,167$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 752$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.44 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 35c | 622.23$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.84 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 71c | 575$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.94 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…77d2backed Yes | 54c | 466.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fa…2431backed No | 54c | 466.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 26c | 394.52$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.95 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 74c | 335.14$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 70c | 266.67$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.67 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 30c | 266$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 41c | 246.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.33 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 59c | 243.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 46c | 213.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9866…6e9fbacked Yes | 70c | 177.78$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 67c | 140$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7d06backed Yes | 29c | 138.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 39c | 95.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked No | 74c | 68.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 27c | 66.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc14…9357backed Yes | 75c | 56.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed No | 72c | 52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d65…a86bbacked Yes | 29c | 36.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…de9dbacked Yes | 29c | 35.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…aa43backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…6632backed No | 74c | 27.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c4d5backed No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. Brentford end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2024-11-23?No won
- Will Everton win on 2024-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.