MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbf6d8ec8c68d560dc42e0f4af9641cddb7542b5a8e4f9843e9a5e1414eed09f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kia Tigers | 12c | 1,001$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 42c | 857.25$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.98 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed KT Wiz | 45c | 710$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.93 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 684.49$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.29 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked KT Wiz | 28c | 644.17$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.17 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 586.43$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed KT Wiz | 41c | 488.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.44 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 423.34$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.84 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kia Tigers | 9c | 344.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 324.58$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.01 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked KT Wiz | 45c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked KT Wiz | 39c | 249.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 244.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.53 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked KT Wiz | 41c | 244.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 242.35$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 240.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 44c | 225.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 79c | 204$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 178.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 172.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…b36abacked Kia Tigers | 63c | 159.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed KT Wiz | 48c | 151.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked KT Wiz | 24c | 120.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 80c | 104.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…42a1backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 103.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Kia Tigers | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 91.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kia Tigers | 13c | 90.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kia Tigers | 24c | 80.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked KT Wiz | 35c | 74.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 67.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked KT Wiz | 25c | 67.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed KT Wiz | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 55.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a1…d929backed KT Wiz | 40c | 54.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 51.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 43c | 49.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Kia Tigers | 48c | 48.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…e18ebacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 46.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed KT Wiz | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed KT Wiz | 75c | 39.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 37.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…2977backed KT Wiz | 43c | 31.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed KT Wiz | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 27.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 26.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Kia Tigers | 47c | 25.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 24.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed KT Wiz | 51c | 23.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 66c | 20.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.