Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2024-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d352be089de6bc921e14cd8e3ac5c8f708c0f37cc1ce2c552d3011b55eab3b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 66c | 4,005$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.62 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 34c | 3,274$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.95 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…b310backed No | 65c | 1,071$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 35c | 969.09$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.18 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…5355backed No | 73c | 186.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…cdd5backed No | 65c | 153.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…806ebacked No | 67c | 150.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…2891backed Yes | 36c | 147.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5686…13f8backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0b77backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 64c | 123.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 33c | 115.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 65c | 107.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 66c | 100.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Yes | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 74c | 99.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 63c | 74.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…f978backed Yes | 37c | 72.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…b376backed Yes | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 36c | 56.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 72c | 49.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…48cabacked Yes | 42c | 47.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 34c | 42.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 35c | 39.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…9cd3backed Yes | 37c | 39.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 34c | 38.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…f7eebacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…01c4backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 57c | 27.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…3821backed No | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked No | 65c | 26.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2024-10-26?this page
- Will Everton vs. Fulham end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fulham win on 2024-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.