Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2024-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b9b75bc4c746714fa35e2b91eaa27ec4e45f3969311d04513c939c725a493e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 38c | 7,014$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 63c | 5,945$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.37 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 52c | 1,238$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.79 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 61c | 1,236$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.77 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e9…8b5bbacked No | 14c | 1,007$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…9465backed Yes | 34c | 923.53$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 38c | 836.84$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 39c | 518.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 37c | 450.53$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.7 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 52c | 281.73$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 62c | 280.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed No | 67c | 240.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 63c | 229.73$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 65c | 215$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Yes | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 70c | 124.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 46c | 123.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 63c | 109.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 62c | 99.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…5921backed Yes | 38c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…b376backed Yes | 32c | 67.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x910b…8b73backed No | 65c | 65.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…dd59backed No | 63c | 63.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed No | 62c | 59.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Yes | 37c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9e…0a21backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 78c | 42.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 77c | 35.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 62c | 34.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2024-10-26?this page
- Will Everton vs. Fulham end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Everton win on 2024-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.