Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc401a90fdfbb0e25b9898ab4bd9b0e4eb3e41c8bc25a9c3d5d8a50b909195361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 78c | 1,453$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.64 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…5b74backed Yes | 14c | 1,100$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…d180backed No | 75c | 1,003$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…9e52backed No | 75c | 699$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 70c | 514.58$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.64 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 25c | 217.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.01 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed No | 71c | 138.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 36c | 100.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 30c | 99.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…3e7fbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 30c | 58.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Yes | 35c | 57.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Yes | 31c | 48.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -64%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked Yes | 29c | 43.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 45c | 39.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3115…83f4backed Yes | 72c | 39.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16a2…f408backed No | 70c | 33.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 72c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…63cebacked No | 74c | 19.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2c98backed No | 73c | 14.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2024-10-26?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2024-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.