MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3be95b105e5f6f6c2821e82547e74784a76ecf91c5358b25f163d09ef546286b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Lotte Giants, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 882.69$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.71 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 659.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.98 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 553.84$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.06 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 539.62$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.83 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31c…642bbacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 428.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Lotte Giants | 6c | 420$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 329.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 274.15$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…cb80backed Lotte Giants | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 188.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 69c | 182.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 162.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 141.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 130.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c6…21e5backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 109.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 100.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 90.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 89.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 88.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 88.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 75.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Kia Tigers | 69c | 74.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 80c | 66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 46.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 45.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…6d16backed Lotte Giants | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 39.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 36.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 31.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 27.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 27.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 19.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.