TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Spurs win on 2024-10-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked No49c4,144$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.9310650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed No69c3,508$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.369361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes51c3,137$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59015554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yes30c3,032$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.655141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No45c3,002$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.2131944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No77c1,852$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9428355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes54c1,837$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004835.4%17 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Yes23c1,739$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed No48c1,246$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.923650%18 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6126959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No50c1,169$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.7768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed No49c1,112$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.882548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No48c1,000$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.0832158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e0…b310backed Yes55c969.36$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No47c820.17$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.0434251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes53c700$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a35…e78cbacked Yes60c656.33$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No73c602.18$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6737841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1645…47a0backed Yes43c580.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes54c555.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864d…5996backed Yes23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes57c349.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53c0…f74dbacked Yes31c345.21$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes19c341.93$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No46c331.48$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2026…bd92backed Yes55c305.02$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ee…6c29backed Yes55c300.9$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.931643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97cb…9efcbacked Yes52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes51c290.2$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1485740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes37c250$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.618232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No38c226.18$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2319743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa6f6…8afbbacked No48c210.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.483953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a01…81d5backed Yes53c210$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8299…51dfbacked No47c210$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes52c207.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1515337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93aa…61c4backed No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0c…b421backed Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed No43c175.42$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.535554.5%30 W · 25 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.676258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No47c162.65$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9914450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes55c143$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5079…708dbacked Yes27c125.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b0…3135backed No47c119.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fa…43adbacked Yes55c115$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes17c109.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.999534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545630.4%17 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4913652.2%71 W · 65 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2451…48e1backed Yes54c93.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes23c91.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9413944.6%62 W · 77 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddab…bd3ebacked Yes54c91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed Yes53c90.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.983951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes27c89.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.966036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cac…6677backed Yes52c86.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes60c85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5111353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b4…b283backed Yes52c80.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Yes51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacab…a69bbacked Yes54c77.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Yes20c76.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.236752.2%35 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4338…b376backed Yes42c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-67.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xceba…9898backed Yes29c68.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4442…d5c1backed Yes53c67.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-64%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x74f1…36bebacked No76c65.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae6f…7399backed Yes54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Yes54c60.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.62147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab9f…f634backed Yes26c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick22cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe800…e861backed Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes54c55.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302725.9%7 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Yes58c51.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2742755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Yes51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.58453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154637%17 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ee2…07c3backed Yes33c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e62…71f4backed Yes54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed91…6db4backed Yes36c45.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.02650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No41c43.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.814659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No41c41.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7514754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fff…10d5backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa836…a4acbacked No49c39.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202277.3%17 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3cb5…14b1backed Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked No49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.42030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa98e…485dbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda3d…9964backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f60…6552backed Yes53c35.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1c…01c4backed Yes57c35.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes58c34.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x079a…ff3abacked Yes58c34.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb91…a6d5backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5300…9d4dbacked Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f8…1434backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.