Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-10-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb733c8c39ce3b27a8be6024987c899051de0b108002c85396a3a5596774eb8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85ba…5b74backed No | 52c | 3,430$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 78c | 2,797$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.37 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 49c | 2,747$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.17 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 35c | 1,942$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.91 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,906$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 21c | 1,798$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.37 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 73c | 1,555$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.5 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 1,098$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.55 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Yes | 24c | 1,052$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.89 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 48c | 1,033$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 76c | 915.47$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.76 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 46c | 520.04$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.3 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Yes | 24c | 468$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…df4cbacked No | 74c | 356$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Yes | 21c | 346.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…874abacked No | 79c | 311.82$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 43c | 255.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Yes | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed No | 51c | 173.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 54c | 167$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 17c | 138.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 202 | 40.6%82 W · 120 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…2d91backed No | 72c | 135.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…f694backed Yes | 24c | 131.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 32c | 126.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa786…0d36backed Yes | 24c | 125.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…ffd4backed No | 78c | 121.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7e…977abacked No | 77c | 101.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Yes | 61c | 91.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 68c | 74.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 53c | 64.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…3c71backed Yes | 26c | 62.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +289.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Yes | 79c | 57.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked No | 78c | 57.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd8…b7fabacked No | 76c | 46.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed No | 78c | 45.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed No | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed No | 53c | 36.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47da…d492backed No | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 78c | 20.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-10-27?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Spurs end in a draw?No won
- Will Spurs win on 2024-10-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.