Premier League · resolved market
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c8ca3fc109684a903492305b32d97a5d1934917ede0fcab8c088d5e3bed1c1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 65c | 8,195$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.53 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 33c | 6,442$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310.3 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…f674backed Yes | 37c | 2,732$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Yes | 36c | 2,100$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,758$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.21 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,747$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.87 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1c96backed Yes | 28c | 1,671$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 64c | 1,501$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.27 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked No | 64c | 1,420$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.13 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 50c | 1,400$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 63c | 1,306$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.09 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…47d5backed Yes | 36c | 1,004$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…2f60backed No | 62c | 873.35$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Yes | 36c | 783.84$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.05 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 37c | 665.46$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.21 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 59c | 618.84$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.35 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 16c | 566.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…6d69backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 64cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…c6b2backed Yes | 37c | 382.78$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked No | 67c | 299.66$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 10c | 290$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…3407backed Yes | 40c | 276$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 64c | 259.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 63c | 259.37$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked Yes | 79c | 247.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 60c | 240.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Yes | 28c | 171.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…78c8backed Yes | 37c | 169.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c2…8987backed No | 67c | 163.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…5ab3backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked No | 65c | 154.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ce…4711backed Yes | 38c | 147.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…66d0backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 37c | 134.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 62c | 132.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 35c | 131.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed Yes | 39c | 129.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Yes | 40c | 113.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571b…6b3ebacked Yes | 36c | 105.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…c7fbbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…5fedbacked Yes | 41c | 97.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked No | 66c | 90.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 28c | 90.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Yes | 44c | 90.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…d004backed No | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…87f9backed Yes | 37c | 61.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…1ca2backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed Yes | 30c | 58.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…b8d0backed Yes | 44c | 57.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…4072backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…e4b6backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee56…bba5backed Yes | 37c | 53.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…89a1backed Yes | 37c | 53.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…7cb1backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c69…a714backed Yes | 38c | 51.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…9cb9backed Yes | 39c | 51.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…fcc9backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fe…3af7backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151c…3c9abacked Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Yes | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…49e4backed Yes | 48c | 48.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…3600backed Yes | 34c | 44.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f9…547dbacked No | 64c | 42.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…48c7backed Yes | 40c | 40.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…5374backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796e…cc95backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 37c | 40.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…c5dcbacked No | 66c | 38.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…c1f4backed No | 64c | 36.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…4d7dbacked Yes | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked No | 65c | 31.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Yes | 37c | 31.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd6…4e24backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589f…b2a8backed No | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…687abacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…6f4fbacked Yes | 37c | 28.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…9fb9backed No | 63c | 26.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…601abacked No | 64c | 25.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 72c | 24.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…a827backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…6760backed No | 63c | 16.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-03?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-03?No won
- Will Man Utd vs. Chelsea end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.