World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x532bc7c57ab441649590c6d3477c7ec1cf145914d5aebc5f0580c6d2a81e0526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdcf…b6e0backed Yes | 12c | 9,624$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…805ebacked Yes | 11c | 6,537$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…396bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,628$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…c177backed Yes | 11c | 3,959$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…a183backed Yes | 6c | 2,326$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 33c | 2,261$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.09 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 80c | 2,052$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.54 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…ffc9backed Yes | 8c | 1,377$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 77c | 1,357$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61e…244cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,320$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,208$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 6c | 859.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed No | 62c | 795.99$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 8c | 530.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5405…41b9backed Yes | 16c | 529.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 69c | 518.39$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.87 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 62c | 472.25$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.86 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…46d0backed Yes | 4c | 471.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4c…995fbacked Yes | 31c | 464.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3b…f205backed Yes | 36c | 421.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 7c | 375$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 334.68$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…a23dbacked Yes | 67c | 323.21$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0949…a86fbacked Yes | 6c | 318.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 12c | 308.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…7835backed Yes | 4c | 304.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…0888backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 293.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 269$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 6c | 262.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 12c | 242$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 224.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03b…9d4abacked No | 46c | 221.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 27c | 220$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…d0bbbacked Yes | 30c | 191.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 72c | 165.87$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 65c | 146.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…af7abacked Yes | 66c | 142.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 9c | 132.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 70c | 127.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes | 27c | 120.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 65c | 89.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2585…eb9fbacked Yes | 28c | 82.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 70c | 79.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…e77abacked No | 74c | 67.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 70c | 62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9070…e32cbacked Yes | 25c | 58.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 25c | 58.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4845…2391backed Yes | 57c | 56.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 56c | 54.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 68c | 48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…91e5backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…d411backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0e…e6d1backed Yes | 38c | 35.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e1…ae66backed No | 68c | 33.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 65c | 26.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…755cbacked Yes | 62c | 26.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…0221backed Yes | 50c | 23.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2,293.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…d4bfbacked No | 68c | 22.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 54c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 80c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?No won
- Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.