TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0380…073dbacked No7c4,087$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1934354.8%188 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x714d…c177backed No12c3,629$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No20c2,053$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.6313243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No16c2,037$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.7239952.4%209 W · 190 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No6c1,862$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.751,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No6c1,829$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.429822.4%22 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe7…ffc9backed Yes72c1,758$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.94742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick22cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed No3c1,644$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.954548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No8c1,618$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3523551.9%122 W · 113 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No22c1,362$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.3552850.8%268 W · 260 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked No12c1,256$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-62.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19bb…a23dbacked Yes68c1,189$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.741233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5073…16a7backed Yes58c1,160$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.133246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcee…bda5backed Yes68c1,076$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.331560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…172abacked No3c972.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked No2c934.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.77283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No10c840.44$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8222355.6%124 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No11c818$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8914637%54 W · 92 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d5…a1dabacked Yes60c817.99$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No11c808.91$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.972755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No10c766.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9331635.1%111 W · 205 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed No7c751.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.61358.1%11 W · 124 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35cb…93adbacked Yes11c670$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd2…9ab1backed No10c667.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.82642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No32c603.68$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.724450%22 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes76c481.73$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No17c455.12$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6336055.3%199 W · 161 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No18c358.13$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.585345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No11c334.58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.83369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6f6…0e74backed No10c319$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.261855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No9c303$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4610734.6%37 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No12c275$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310646.2%49 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No8c274.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.728558.9%168 W · 117 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc03b…9d4abacked Yes37c269.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+62.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed No6c252.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.053917.9%7 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No11c252.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.78838.6%34 W · 54 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No11c243.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3819315.5%30 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked No9c234.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.071330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21a3…9e97backed Yes69c225$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No8c223.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9720065%130 W · 70 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No15c212.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0216450.6%83 W · 81 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No10c204.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.736835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No10c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes68c199.03$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0111647.4%55 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No12c175.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7814954.4%81 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No11c173.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1824637.4%92 W · 154 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes49c169.08$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6637117.8%66 W · 305 L-18.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No27c165.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.716051.9%83 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8476…34dbbacked No12c158.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6d9…edcabacked No11c158.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed No10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed No10c140$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x077e…06d2backed No8c139.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.18850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf35e…18b7backed Yes74c135.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe510…b0f0backed Yes76c131.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x039b…9b6cbacked No9c130$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafab…5949backed Yes76c126.28$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.433100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No35c114$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.662853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No21c111.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5524110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd98d…1179backed No74c110$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.711947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed No12c110$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27450%37 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5695…002bbacked No12c109.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No11c105.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5710542.9%45 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No21c105$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7531152.4%163 W · 148 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x574f…b919backed No12c101.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0db9…d97cbacked Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x405b…755cbacked Yes79c99.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No24c93.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1814753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f46…9a2cbacked Yes55c90.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No29c86.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.058741.4%36 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No35c85.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2611045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No23c66.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2916850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No36c56.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2426355.9%147 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No52c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.899017.2%170 W · 820 L-148.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xe1a9…339ebacked No28c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152425%6 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6312…3941backed Yes67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54c6…e5c2backed No32c49.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.71425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b14…af44backed Yes68c48.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9b…a9aabacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes47c31.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.722152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3641…0ff8backed Yes63c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf759…0221backed Yes44c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+2,293.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa04…6523backed Yes70c28.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50c…a08fbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes50c26.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.496426.6%17 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fc…e300backed Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e16…25f7backed Yes62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9be5…985ebacked Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b9…9e85backed Yes65c19.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.853100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes65c16.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.765337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd02…5e41backed No68c14.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.