Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98dc1a7ca64413804e1c25a6876f54e878f0bcbe24494e100e298a3b65cfe2fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 18c | 6,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.98 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f8…c522backed Yes | 20c | 4,591$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 56c | 3,209$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.8 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 71c | 2,321$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.41 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…55d4backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,774$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.93 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…529abacked Yes | 3c | 1,705$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.76 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 57c | 1,078$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.42 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed Yes | 44c | 1,051$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.02 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 53c | 958.31$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…891fbacked Yes | 19c | 950$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 64c | 945.55$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.67 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 72c | 869.01$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.11 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 53c | 760.98$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.32 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 54c | 757.4$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.7 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 47c | 613$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.94 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 59c | 522.55$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.96 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab1…5b1bbacked Yes | 10c | 518.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 40c | 419.5$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.85 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…bc64backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 409.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.51 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 12c | 404.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.27 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 55c | 400.74$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.41 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.7 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 13c | 399.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.2 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb480…92b9backed Yes | 69c | 367.96$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…9722backed No | 58c | 356$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 17c | 313.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.62 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 47c | 301.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.72 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 39c | 292.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.55 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 66c | 286.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02d…07b3backed Yes | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed No | 66c | 276.8$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.19 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 23c | 258.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 70c | 254.61$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.04 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…ca94backed Yes | 51c | 241.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed No | 60c | 240.58$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 10c | 223$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…2a2fbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 22c | 203.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.32 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1e…fbb1backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed Yes | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 56c | 183$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0f…0ababacked Yes | 28c | 173.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 42c | 162.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed No | 79c | 157.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 57c | 150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 63c | 147.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked No | 58c | 146$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…c19fbacked No | 58c | 146$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 52c | 138.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked No | 71c | 137$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 29c | 124.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 62c | 123.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…2f60backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe1…befbbacked Yes | 37c | 118.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 59c | 116.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 9c | 116.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…802dbacked Yes | 46c | 108.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 45c | 107.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 18c | 103.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 46c | 101.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…0442backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 150 | 20%30 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ed…3851backed Yes | 46c | 99.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 48c | 95.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 51c | 93.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed No | 51c | 92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda5…ee3abacked No | 60c | 90.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…a554backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe506…1bccbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed No | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed No | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…eebfbacked Yes | 22c | 77.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed No | 58c | 74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes | 44c | 73.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…ef39backed Yes | 29c | 68.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9059…c60fbacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…a1d1backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5311backed Yes | 52c | 61.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…8eefbacked No | 55c | 60.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…afc3backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 39c | 56.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 55.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked No | 52c | 55.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 23c | 53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab99…1895backed Yes | 38c | 52.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 63c | 52.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 13+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 7+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.